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Mornington Race 10: Mitavite Challenge Final BM78 1600m

26/03/2015: Tuchanchoo has kept improving this campaign and there’s no reason why further improvement cannot be made. He can either lead or sit on the pace. Add some extra merit to his form if Skellig goes well in Race 7. One Inch Punch also maps well and really rates well weight wise after claiming 1.5kg to carry under the limit weight not to mention the 6 kg weight pull he receives from Our Valdivia. It’s not always about weights and my slight concern is his two wins from twelve runs but perhaps he will be better at this distance? Solomon’s Song meets Tucanchoo 4kg better and after his 3kg claim he also comes in under the limit. Although he doesn’t have awesome distance statistics he must be conceded a chance in a BM 78. Our Valdivia isn’t well served at the weights but winning form is good form and why can’t he defy the negatives and win again? Aragonese has a couple of negatives to overcome but let’s give him a chance too. Place chances to Golden Mane, You Rock and Mywordsaidthebird.

Mornington Race 10. RaceTime: AEDT 18:05, 28/03/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Mywordsaidthebird, (3) Our Valdivia, (4), (8) Solomon's King.
Mid Fielders (6) Mezulla, (7) Tucanchoo, (15) Aragonese.
Get Back (5) Black Revolver,(9) You Rock, (10) Black Stardom, (12) Forever True, (13) Dig A Pony, (14) Digitalism.
PACE COMMENTS I don't have any regular leaders but the four on pacers (a couple have been known to lead) will all go forward and I feel will set a solid pace thus provide most of the field with their chance pace wise. Don’t be afraid to be on a get back type.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Tucanchoo PLUS: Three from nine career, wide and checked last run, still won, improver. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
One Inch Punch PLUS: Meets Our Valdivia 6kg better for unlucky defeat. B 0.25
  MINUS: Two wins twelve career, slight distance query.    
Solomon's Song PLUS: Two distance wins, meets Tucanchoo 4kg better, all three career wins around this distance. C 1
  MINUS: Two from eight distance slight concern.    
Our Valdivia PLUS: Going for hat trick, distance one from three. D 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Aragonese PLUS: Meets Tucanchoo 2kg better. E 2
  MINUS: Two from sixteen, wide barrier, distance query.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Digitalism (goes best damp tracks), Black Revolver (just plodding), Dig A Pony (always running on).
OUTCLASSED Mezulla, Black Stardom, Forever True.
Quadrella Race# Mornington 28 March 2015
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Mornington 10 Mitavite Challenge Final BM78 1600m
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