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Mornington Race 7: Bayside Jeep Guineas 1500m

26/03/2015: Although I am not a great fan of selecting horses coming off worrying breaks the strength behind the form lines for Thinking Of You suggests she has to be the A selection. Who can knock a top run behind First Seal at Group1 level for this race. Show A Star, Malaguerra and Skellig have similar careers behind them as lightly raced runners with heaps of improvement coming and I am realistically guessing an order between them. Both Jurasound and Jackpot have strong chances but I am a tad worried about the days off for this duo more than for Thinking Of You. Place chances for Second Option, Star Fortune, Shintaro, San Amaro, Keep The Klass and Macquarie Magic highlights the depth of this race.

Mornington Race 7. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 28/03/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (1) Shintaro, (12) Show A Star, (13) Skellig.
On Pacers (5) Jackpot, (6) Macquarie Magic, (7) Jurasound, (8) Star Fortune, (10) Malaguerra, (14) Grande Rosso.
Mid Fielders (3) Second Option, (9) Thinking Of You, (11) San Amaro.
Get Back (2) Temps Voleur, (4) Keep The Klass.
PACE COMMENTS Looks to be plenty of action early from out wide and Shintaro kicking through from the inside barrier. Add to this the likelihood of the on pacers going forward early as well and you have a genuine pace.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Thinking Of You PLUS: Two from five career and good tracks, checked start last start forgive A 0
  MINUS: 28 days break.    
Show A Star PLUS: Front runner, two wins four quinellas four runs, improver. B 1
  MINUS: Nil.    
Malaguerra PLUS: Three from seven career and good tracks, easy winner last run leading, bumped two runs ago. C 1.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Skellig PLUS: Front runner, beat Tucanchoo home two runs ago won since. D 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Jurasound PLUS: One from one track and distance, career three from eight, wide only unplaced run from eight. E 2
  MINUS: 36 days.    
Jackpot PLUS: Lightly raced improver, protest loser last run, almost unbeaten. F 2.25
  MINUS: 29 days, distance query.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Grande Rosso, Temps Voleur.
Quadrella Race# Mornington 28 March 2015
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