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Mornington Race 8: Hareeba Stakes 1200m

01/04/2016: Meursault fought like a caged lion last start after being headed by subsequent winner My Favorite and even though off a five week break I see him sitting off Rain Affair and being declared the winner with 50 metres to go. There's no doubt the John O'Shea stable have had this race in mind as why wouldn't he be running in Sydney? Fast Cash is up in class on the handicappers ratings but when a horse is improving the ratings need to be put aside until there is solid proof he cannot handle this level. Dan Zephyr has been eased for a month's break after his Group 3 defeat in the Shaftesbury Avenue Stakes and I can see the freshen up as a positive for a horse with two seconds at the track. Mirage has won twice first up (one win was at Shatin, Hong Kong over 1400m) and he ran fifth in this race last year first up in over a year beaten 2.85 lengths. He is now with Darren Weir after leaving the Peter Moody stable. Reldas just lets loose from the 400m and if the pace is hectic early, and it could be, he will storm home.

Mornington Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: SHOWERY. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 02/04/2016

RACEMAPHareeba Stakes 1200m
Front Runners (17) Rain Affair.
On Pacers (1) Thermal Current, (4) Rough Justice, (10) Murt The Flirt, (11) Meursault, (12) Lord Durante, (15) General Jackson.
Mid Fielders (2) Mirage, (3) Precious Gem, (5) Dan Zephyr, (6) Jabali, (7) Fast Cash, (8) Every Faith, (16) It Is Written, (18) Inspector.
Get Back (9) Tonopah, (13) Smokin' Joey, (14) Stratcombe, (19) Reldas.
PACE COMMENTS Rain Affair has led in many of his starts and it is expected he will do the same from his bad barrier otherwise he will be caught wide. This provides the on pacers, and there's plenty of them, the opportunity to sit and wait. Whether the back markers get into the race is dependent on the speed set by Rain Affair, who has sometimes led by several lengths in his races. Overall I have to assume the pace will be solid enough for the back markers but just the same horses like Reldas and Smokin' Joey, the two class runners, need to be a sensible price.
CHANCESHareeba Stakes 1200mOrderMargin
Meursault PLUS: Fighter, strong Sydney form line, stable intention to run here off break, distance and track conditions suitable. A 0
  MINUS: 35 days break.    
Fast Cash PLUS: Distance and track conditions no issue, striving for hat trick of wins. B 0.5
  MINUS: Class rise and gets back to mid field.    
Dan Zephyr PLUS: Runs well this track, freshened up for this race, won six times on good tracks, fights hard to win races. C 0.75
  MINUS: 28 days break.    
Mirage PLUS: Won first up twice from four attempts, four good track wins, two distance wins from four runs. D 1.25
  MINUS: First up this distance this level.    
Reldas PLUS: Four wins at the distance and five on good tracks, form through Oakleigh Plate has been strong. E 1.5
  MINUS: Get back to almost last and needs solid pace.    
Quadrella Race# Mornington 2 April 2016
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Mornington 8 Hareeba Stakes 1200m
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EXOTICS Hareeba Stakes 1200m
Exacta

A: 16

B: 2 5 6 15

Trifecta

A: 16

B: 2 5 6 15

C: 2 3 5 6 7 10 15 18

First Four

A: 16

B: 2 5 6 15

C: 2 3 5 6 7 10 15 18

D: 2 3 5 6 7 10 15 18

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