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Morphettville Race 5: R & F Gerard R A Lee Stakes 1600m

20/05/2016: Very keen on the chances of Alpine Eagle here to the point I think he's the best bet on the card. Comes of a 4 length trial win which should have him ready to fire and further enhance his 1st up record of 2 wins and 2 placings from 4 previous runs. Has won 4 and placed 3 times in a career of 8 runs and only just went under last prep in the Group 1 Australian Guineas over this distance. Will have these covered on best form. Atlantis Dream was beaten less than 1 length last time when runner up over this course at Group 2 level from a very wide draw. Draws significantly better this time and has won at Group 2 level in the past. Best form is well equipped to take this out. Tonopah is a last start winner this course in lesser company and has a fine record over the 1600m. Will have to break new ground to win at this level but is a winner his only run at track and distance, and draws well. Has each way claims. Rhythm To Spare's last couple have been below par but he's a 6 time winner this distance from 14 runs and is more than capable on his day. Another each way chance if he gets the right run. Dylanson has a good record this track and distance and could be the exotics booster. Will need some breaks to beat some of these but shouldn't be too far off the placing's at the business end.

Morphettville Race 5. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 15:35, 21/05/2016

RACEMAPR & F Gerard R A Lee Stakes 1600m
Front Runners (11 Rhythm To Spare.
On Pacers (9) Dylanson.
Mid Fielders (1) Tonopah, (7) Rocket Commander, (8) Kingdoms, (10) Flow Meter.
Get Back (2) Alpine Eagle, (3) Atlantis Dream, (4) Alcohol, (5) Tall Ship, (6) Qadir, (12) Prince Of Penzance.
PACE COMMENTS This is a very tricky race pace wise for obvious reasons once you look at the race map. One leader, Rhythm To Spare, and one on pacer, Dylanson, is not a good recipe for a solid early pace. I would be very, very wary about the get back types led by Alpine Eagle and Atlantis Dream if the odds are under each way odds. The horse best suited, just lobbing off the pace (he has the ability to be closer, by the way), is Tonopah.
CHANCESR & F Gerard R A Lee Stakes 1600mOrderMargin
Alpine Eagle PLUS: Just beaten last Australian Guineas Grp 1, won 4 placed 3 from 8, goes well 1st up, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Taking on a mile first up ?    
Atlantis Dream PLUS: Good record this course, much better draw this week, rider in hot form. B 1.5
  MINUS: Has been beaten last 8 runs.    
Tonopah PLUS: Strong record this distance, winner only run this track, well drawn. C 2
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Rhythm To Spare PLUS: 6 time winner this distance, winner only run this track. D 2.75
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Dylanson PLUS: Goes well this track, goes well at distance. E 3.25
  MINUS: Last 2runs well below par.    
Quadrella Race# Morphettville 21 May 2016
Morphettville 5 R & F Gerard R A Lee Stakes 1600m
Morphettville 6 Ubet Proud Miss Stakes 1200m
Morphettville 7 Darley Goodwood Stakes 1200m
Morphettville 8 Stamford Hotels BM75 1200m
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EXOTICS R & F Gerard R A Lee Stakes 1600m
Exacta

A: 2 5 6 9

B: 2 5 6 9

Trifecta

A: 2 4 5 6 9

B: 2 4 5 6 9

C: 2 4 5 6 9

First Four

A: 2

B: 2 4 5 6 9

C: 2 4 5 6 9

D: 2 4 5 6 9

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