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Morphettville Race 6: Brian Vivian's 70th Handicap 1200m

13/05/2016: Illustrious Lad blew rivals away at Morphettville Park 2 runs back by an emphatic 4.5 lengths then was runner up to the richly talented rising star Supido at Flemington. That form line should see him just about winning this. Draws a little wide but has good wining strike rate and with any luck in the run should prove the best bet of the four Quaddie legs. Heart Of A Lion drops back from a last start Group 3 placing and has good career strike rates, draws well and should give backers a great sight. Ruettiger has won 2 from 4 at this distance and has good career figures of 4 wins and 4 placings from 11 runs. Rises in class for this but has obvious talent should handle the step and looks a genuine each way prospect. Duke Of Brunswick is also engaged at Caulfield and should be a major player in which ever state connections opt for. Another with good career strike rates, goes well fresh and does drop in class from last run. Face Forward could be the value inclusion for the exotics bettors. This mare has won 4 from 11 runs and comes from a very astute stable. Races 2nd up here and has 1 win from 2 runs when racing similar in the past.

Morphettville Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:20, 14/05/2016

RACEMAPBrian Vivian's 70th Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (2) Anfitriona.
On Pacers (4) Heart Of A Lion, (5) Northern Zhar, (6) Face Forward, (7) Casino Wizard.
Mid Fielders (1) Deheiros, (3) Couldn't Agreemore, (9) Ruettiger, (10) Justify That, (11) Duke Of Brunswick, (14) Scratchy Lass.
Get Back (8) Clear Pockets, (12) Cellarmaster, (13) Illustrious Lad, (15) Cashed, (16) Karacatis.
PACE COMMENTS It seems an easy enough lead for Anfitriona as all my on pacers are normally of that ilk. The on pacers will make their move just prior to the home turn but if Anfitriona receives a soft run the job for the mid fielders and especially the back markers is going to be tough. Keep this scenario in mind when betting and make sure the odds you receive is worth the risk.
CHANCESBrian Vivian's 70th Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Illustrious Lad PLUS: Blitzed rivals 2 runs back, beaten by potential star last time. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn wide.    
Heart Of A Lion PLUS: Drops in class, goes well this track, drawn well. B 1.25
  MINUS: Beaten both previous 3rd up runs.    
Ruettiger PLUS: Won 4 placed 4 from 11 runs, won 2 from 4 at distance. C 2
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Duke Of Brunswick PLUS: Good strike rates, races well fresh, drops in grade, won 3 from 5 at distance. D 2.25
  MINUS: Draws a little wide.    
Face Forward PLUS: Won 4 from 11, goes well at distance, well drawn. E 3.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Morphettville 14 May 2016
Morphettville 5 Provincial Super Series Final 1800m
Morphettville 6 Brian Vivian's 70th Handicap 1200m
Morphettville 7 Ubet South Australian Derby 2500m
Morphettville 8 Schweppes SA Sprint Series Final 1100m
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EXOTICS Brian Vivian's 70th Handicap 1200m
Exacta

A: 3 5 10 16

B: 3 5 10 16

Trifecta

A: 3 5 10

B: 3 5 10 13 15 16

C: 3 5 10 13 15 16

First Four

A: 3 5 10

B: 3 5 10 16

C: 3 5 10 13 15 16

D: 3 5 10 13 15 16

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