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Morphettville Race 7: Ubet South Australian Derby 2500m

13/05/2016: Cranbourne trainer Mick Kent looks a great chance to take out South Australian Oaks, Derby double with another lightly raced commodity in Charlevoix. After winning the Oaks last week with Abbey Marie at only her 3rd race start Charlevoix can complete the double at only his 5th race start. A last start Listed winner at Sandown by 2.5 lengths over 2400m, the runner up Cool Chap franked that form by winning a Listed event at Flemington at his next start by around the same margin. Strong form line and looks good. Filly Arcadia Dream beat the boys to take out the W.A.Derby and was seen to be closing out her race here in the Oaks last week very strongly coming from a mile back on the turn. The step up the 2400m is a plus and rates highly on recent form. Howard Be Thy Name is shooting for 4 straight here and 5 from last 6 runs and looks a huge threat on easy 2.3 length win in the lead up Chairman's Stakes event over 2020m. Has won 4 and placed 6 times in 10 career runs and if can get the 2500m will give this a mighty shake. No distance worries with Cool Chap who easily took out the Listed VRC St Leger last time over 2800m. From top stable and rates an undeniable each way chance. Royal Rumble could be the exotics booster at big odds and has been close up in last 3 runs without winning, whilst Sydney raider and last start Caulfield winner Tarquin must also be considered on strong recent form in lower class.

Morphettville Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:55, 14/05/2016

RACEMAPUbet South Australian Derby 2500m
Front Runners (4) Ascot Red.
On Pacers (1) Bullish Stock, (7) Tarquin, (13) Prince Of Pagoda, (14) Manhattan Boss.
Mid Fielders (3) Royal Rumble, (5) Sacred Eye, (6) Howard Be Thy Name, (9) First Impressions.
Get Back (2) Mail It In, (8) Tuff Bickie, (10) Dropped, (11) Charlevoix, (12) Etymology, (15) Arcadia Dream, (16) Rond Door Reggie, (17) Cool Chap.
PACE COMMENTS On past performances around this distance it seems Ascot Red is the most likely leader with four other runners as on pacers which normally means the pace could be a tad suspect. This would make the task of the back markers, which includes the two pre post favourites, quite difficult however this is a Group 1 race and I suspect a couple of the mid fielders and get back types will take off with 600m to go and test their luck. This means the back markers will get a good trail into the race therefore if you fancy one of those runners rest assured they will get their chance for victory late in the race.
CHANCESUbet South Australian Derby 2500mOrderMargin
Charlevoix PLUS: Stable took out Oaks here last week, easy Listed winner over 2400m last time, strong form lines through Cool Chap. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Arcadia Dream PLUS: W.A Derby winner, hit the line strongly late from a mile back last run, won 5 placed 5 from 13. B 2
  MINUS: Drawn wide again and will get back.    
Howard Be Thy Name PLUS: Won 4 from last 5, easy winner over 2020m in lead up race, draws well. C 2.5
  MINUS: Unknown past 2020m.    
Cool Chap PLUS: Easy Listed winner over 2800m at Flemington last time, won 3 placed 3 from 7. D 2.75
  MINUS: Has horror draw out in gate 17.    
Royal Rumble PLUS: Looked a little unlucky last time when 2nd in lead up race, close up in all recent racing. E 4
  MINUS: Much tougher assignment this week.    
Tarquin PLUS: Last start Caulfield winner, won 4 placed 3 from 10. F 4.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Morphettville 14 May 2016
Morphettville 5 Provincial Super Series Final 1800m
Morphettville 6 Brian Vivian's 70th Handicap 1200m
Morphettville 7 Ubet South Australian Derby 2500m
Morphettville 8 Schweppes SA Sprint Series Final 1100m
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EXOTICS Ubet South Australian Derby 2500m
Exacta

A: 1 5 6 14

B: 1 5 6 14

Trifecta

A: 1 2 3 5 6 14

B: 1 2 3 5 6 14

C: 1 2 3 5 6 14

First Four

A: 1 5 6

B: 1 5 6 14

C: 1 2 3 5 6 14

D: 1 2 3 5 6 14

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