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Randwick Race 10: Drummond Golf Sapphire Stakes 1200m

10/04/2015: Avoid Lightning has a great record this track and outstanding wet form and on that basis is a clear top selection in this. Avoid Lightning had little luck when unplaced in the Group1 Galaxy last time and was a Group 3 winner at his last start over this track and distance. Looks a strong each way bet. Griante drops back from a Group 1 placing at Moonee Valley last time and has strong wet form. Won at this track prior to that and has an inside draw. Shamalia is last start Group 3 winner this distance and has a good record here at Randwick and has also won on soft ground. Looks a definite threat again. Politeness is a winner her only start this track and has won in the wet. Has won at Group 3 level but coming off awkward break. Peron was luckless last time out and has performed well at Group level in the past. Has good form on soft ground and shouldn't be too far off them at the finish here.

Randwick Race 10. RaceTime: AEST 17:15, 11/04/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (11) Chloe In Paris.
On Pacers (9) Onemorezeta, (3) Fine Mist.
Mid Fielders (1) Griante, (5) Bound For Earth, (2) Villa Verde, (8) Avoid Lightning, (12) Fine Bubbles, (4) Atmospherical.
Get Back (7) Politeness, (6) Shamalia, (10) Peron, (13) Belle De Cour.
PACE COMMENTS Not a great deal of top end speed here but expected leader Chloe In Paris with on pacers Onemorezeta and Fine Mist should generate enough speed to ensure a genuine overall tempo. Main Chances Avoid Lightning is expected to settle mid field whilst Shamalia will be probably giving away a tidy start when heads turn for home as will both Peron and Politeness who will have plenty of admirers.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Avoid Lightning PLUS: Has outstanding wet form, races well this track, winner recent barrier trial. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Griante PLUS: Top run Group 1 level last time, winner here pror to that, has good wet form. B 0.75
  MINUS: Nil.    
Shamalia PLUS: Group 3 winner last time, races well this track, has won on soft ground. C 1
  MINUS: Can get a fair way back in her races.    
Politeness PLUS: Winner Group 3 level, won only start this track, good wet form. D 1.5
  MINUS: Comes off awkward 55 day break.    
Peron PLUS: No luck last time in Melbourne, goes well in wet,goes well at distance. E 2.5
  MINUS: Hsn't won for long time.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Atmospherical (beaten all 3 runs at 1200m), Chloe In Paris (yet to win past 1000m).
OUTCLASSED Villa Verde, Bound For Earth, Fine Bubbles, Belle De Couer, Onemorezeta, Fine Mist.
Quadrella Race# Randwick 11 April 2015
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