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Randwick Race 10: Tab Adrian Knox Stakes 2000m

03/04/2015: A pretty ordinary affair to round out a great days racing which is further compounded by lack of exposed form over the distance. Abduction gets top billing here and should prove very hard to beat, Abduction drops back in grade after only beaten just over 2 lengths in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic over 1500m and has been placed this distance at Group 2 level. Should test these. One runner who is proven over ground is the Cummings trained Zarzali who faces a very steep jump in class here but blitzed a class 1 field last time by 4 lengths in heavy going at Kembla Grange. Has won 2 from 4 and should be strong at the business end. Wine Tales has been a little costly in recent times but can easily break back into the winners stall with 'Magic' Moreira aboard. Good effort last time when just bloused out in Group 3 race over 1600m at Kembla Grange. Maastricht has been placed twice over this distance including a last start 3rd at Group 2 level at Moonee Valley and must rate strongly here on that performance.

Randwick Race 10. RaceTime: AEDT 17:50, 04/04/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (13) Maastricht, (6) Candelara, (4) La Stupenda, (3) Rustic Melody.
Mid Fielders (10) Abduction, (11) Joyful Journey, (12) Choix De Maia, (14) Heavens Above, (5) Gust Of Wind, (8) Centreofattention.
Get Back (7) Finda Fitter Filly, (2) Lady Macan, (1) Wine Tales, (9) Zarzali.
PACE COMMENTS A clear lack of top end speed here with no regular leader engaged. Possibly Candelara from gate 6 may take up the running. The lack of pace wont do Wine Tales any favours, whilst other fancy Abduction who can get back at times will probably end up racing mid field and should be several lengths ahead of Wine Tales when they swing for home. Maastricht did lead and place last time so should cross from wide gate and look to slot in just behind Candelara assuming she does run to the front. Pace assessment is moderate.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Abduction PLUS: Drops in grade, placed Group 2 level this distance, won on soft ground. A 0
  MINUS: Unplaced only run this track.    
Zarzali PLUS: Winner up to 2400m, winner in wet conditions, bolted in last time/ B 1.5
  MINUS: Huge class rise.    
Wine Tales PLUS: Just beaten Group 3 level last time, winner in wet, has Moreira engaged. C 2
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1350m.    
Maastricht PLUS: Placed Group 3 level this distance last time, winner in wet conditions. D 2.25
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1400m.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Joyful Journey (class rise).
OUTCLASSED Candelara, Lady Macan, Rustic Melody, Choix De Maia, Gust Of Wind, Finda Fitter Filly, Centreofattention, La Stupenda.
Quadrella Race# Randwick 4 April 2015
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Randwick 10 Tab Adrian Knox Stakes 2000m
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