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Randwick Race 5: Concord Stakes 1000m

4/09/2015: Speed machine Ball Of Muscle has an enviable career record of 13 starts for 8 wins and 5 placings and I'm tipping the win stat to advance to 9 from 14 after this event. This gelding in unbeaten at both runs at Randwick over this distance and has 2 wins and 2 seconds in 4 first up runs to date. Ball Of Muscle is a recent trial winner who should find the lead early from an inside gate and take a power of getting past at the business end. Shiraz is another with great career form winning 9 and placed 2 from 11. Shiraz is coming back to Sydney after a gutsy last start Group 3 win over 1200m down the Flemington straight. Sure to be right in the thick of things again. The third runner here with strong career form is Craftiness who has trialled well recently and has 2 wins and a 2nd in 3 first up runs and an overall 6 wins from 9 runs. Runner up to Our Boy Malachi at this level last campaign so is well equipped to take this out on best form. Atmospherical looks the only other winning chance and should be suited by the expected strong up front tempo. Has run some top races at Group 1 level and should be charging late. Fell Swoop would have been 2nd selection here but is a dual acceptor and at time of writing is expected to run at Moonee Valley.

Randwick Race 5. RaceTime: AEST 15:05, 05/09/2015

RACEMAPConcord Stakes 1000m
Front Runners (3) Ball Of Muscle.
On Pacers (4) Unanimously, (5) Craftiness, (10) Fell Swoop.
Mid Fielders (9) Decision Time, (8) Shiraz.
Get Back (7) Atmospherical, (6) Wouldnt It Be Nice, (1) Aeronautical, (2) Happy Galaxy.
PACE COMMENTS Ball of Muscle has abundant early speed and should lead this lot clearly from gate 3. Unanimously and Craftiness both from good draws will slot into favourable trailing positions early with Fell Swoop going forward from gate 10 to look to settle in the leading bunch no more than 2 off the rail. These runners will ensure a good to strong overall race tempo. Atmospherical is well in market contention and will drop rearward early but will be suited by this expected tempo and should close out the race strongly.
CHANCESConcord Stakes 1000mOrderMargin
Ball Of Muscle PLUS: Won 8 placed 5 from 13, unbeaten track and distance, won at Grp 2 level, recent trial winner. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Shiraz PLUS: Won 9 from 14, last start Grp 3 winner Flemington, rider in hot form. B 1.25
  MINUS: Unplaced only run at track, unplaced only run at distance.    
Craftiness PLUS: Won 6 from 9, strong record at distance, strong record 1st up, trialled well. C 1.75
  MINUS: Beaten only run this track.    
Atmospherical PLUS: Has run some top races at Grp 1 level, strong form this distance, will be suited by up front speed. D 2
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 6 runs this track.    
Quadrella Race# Randwick 5 September 2015
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