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Randwick Race 5: The Mostyn Copper Group BM84 1400m

21/08/2015: This is a really tough race to open the Quaddie and the winner could be well hidden. Spy Decoder was only beaten 0.5 lengths at Group 2 level 2 runs back last preparation and a replication of that effort would just about take out a race like this. Spy Decoder has been placed twice in 4 previous 1st up runs and has had the benefit of two recent trials, he goes well this distance and has the services of gun rider James McDonald. There looks to be a bit of value about Bring A Ring a last start Rosehill winner who ran a good race in better company at Caulfield two runs back. Stable has her backing up after 7 days which is usually a sign of confidence. Forget is in good recent form and although winless in 7 runs here, goes OK this distance and maps well from good draw and must come into contention. Bold Circle is a winner this track and gets another crack at the 1400m a distance he is yet to place in 4 attempts, well drawn and perhaps can do better this time this distance if given the right run. Former European galloper Himalaya Dream had issues last run when dismal 2nd last but has won 2 from 3 runs when racing 2nd up and a win here would be no surprise.

Randwick Race 5. RaceTime: AEST 15:00, 22/08/2015

RACEMAPThe Mostyn Copper Group BM84 1400m
Front Runners (1) Harry Hotspur, (9) Kurtley, (8) Himalaya Dream.
On Pacers (4) El Sasso, (2) Forget, (5) Marseille Roulette, (7) Bring A King.
Mid Fielders (3) Bold Circle.
Get Back (10) Spy Decoder, (11) Sasenkile, (6) Tableaux.
PACE COMMENTS There's plenty of top end pressure here with 3 leaders and 4 listed on pace runners which should produce a pretty smart first sectional and genuine to fast overall tempo. Harry Hotspur should find the rail early from gate 1 but will have to hold out both Kurtley and Himalaya Dream crossing from wider out. Early favourite Forget should get a gun run for Blake Shinn just in behind this leading trio. Spy Decoder will have admirers and will drop out early but should be well suited by the predict strong tempo.
CHANCESThe Mostyn Copper Group BM84 1400mOrderMargin
Spy Decoder PLUS: Goes well this distance, good recent performance Grp 2 race, has top rider engaged. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn a little wide, best form has been on wetter ground.    
Bring A Ring PLUS: Last start Rosehill winner, goes well this distance, good effort stronger field Caulfield 2 runs back. B 0.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Forget PLUS: In strong recent form, well drawn, top rider, dual winner this distance. C 1.5
  MINUS: Beaten all 7 runs this track.    
Bold Circle PLUS: Has won this track, run some good races in much better company, well drawn. D 1.75
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1200m, unplaced all 4 this distance.    
Himalaya Dream PLUS: From astute stable, has strong 2nd up form. E 2.5
  MINUS: Very poor effort last time, rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Randwick 22 August 2015
Randwick 5 The Mostyn Copper Group BM84 1400m
Randwick 6 Pro-Ride Warwick Stakes 1400m
Randwick 7 Sky Thoroughbred Show County Quality 1200m
Randwick 8 Randwick City Mayor's Cup BM81 2000m
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