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Randwick Race 6: Apn Outdoor Craven Plate 2000m

2/10/2015: Favourite Complacent should get a soft lead here giving James McDonald every opportunity to control the race from the front position and therefore no excuses if he gets beaten. Complacent has been in great recent form after a prolonged injury enforced layoff. Complacent beat top-liner Kermadec this track two runs back and that runner has further franked the form by winning at his next start. The possible firmer conditions if they occur will also enhance his winning prospects. Look for big improvement from Moriarty on recent runs, this gelding races well here at Randwick and will be admirably suited by the step up to the 2000m. Complacent's stablemate Hauraki has disappointed at his last couple but drops in grade here and has Magic Moreira engaged. Goes well this track and has won over this distance. Ruling Dynasty is still a restricted class galloper but has put in a couple of nice performances at Group level in the past, has won up to 2100m and if can handle the class rise no surprise to see him in the thick of things at the business end.

Randwick Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:20, 03/10/2015

RACEMAPApn Outdoor Craven Plate 2000m
Front Runners (4) Complacent.
On Pacers (9) Sense Of Occasion.
Mid Fielders (3) Hauraki, (10) Celtic Prince.
Get Back (7) Ruling Dynasty, (6) I'm Imposing, (5) Moriarty, (1) Grand Marshal, (8) Gallante, (2) Foreteller.
PACE COMMENTS Very little top end speed here on paper with the more than half the field comprising of back markers. Race favourite Complacent gets an easy lead here and as a result should be able to control things to his liking in front. Outsider Sense Of Occasion is the only other runner with noted early speed will settle on the leaders back. Complacent's stablemate Hauraki may make use of an inside draw and be ridden a little closer than in recent runs. Backmarkers should get no pace favours in this event especially if the leader can get a few cheap sectionals. Assessed pace is moderate.
CHANCESApn Outdoor Craven Plate 2000mOrderMargin
Complacent PLUS: Drops in grade, goes well this track, gets soft lead. A 0
  MINUS: If the track is worse than good is a little worry.    
Moriarty PLUS: Won 2 from 3 at track and distance, from the all conquering Waller yard. B 1.5
  MINUS: Can get a long way back.    
Hauraki PLUS: Drops in grade, winner only start this distance, winner this track. C 2.25
  MINUS: Been disappointing at last couple.    
Ruling Dynasty PLUS: Goes well this track, winner this distance. D 3.25
  MINUS: Yet to win out of restricted grade.    
Quadrella Race# Randwick 3 October 2015
Randwick 6 Apn Outdoor Craven Plate 2000m
Randwick 7 The Star 150th Epsom 1600m
Randwick 8 Coolmore Flight Stakes 1600m
Randwick 9 McGrath Agents Metropolitan 2400m
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