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Randwick Race 8: Ranvet BM90 1600m

19/06/2015: Magic Hurricane is a last start winner this track and drops in grade here. This former British galloper has won up to 2400m so should appreciate the extra 200m of this event. Wet form is not brilliant but does go well 2nd up. Hollywood Bound has a good record at both this track and at the distance, has won on heavy ground and s well drawn. Win strike rate could be better but rates well in this field. Pajaro is from top stable and has been placed all 4 runs here at Randwick, drops in class and is drawn well but yet to win in 7 runs in the wet. Vergara was an easy winner last start at Rosehill and should get an easy lead off a good barrier draw, but a big question remains about handling the conditions. Georgey Aeroplane rates a place chance.

Randwick Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:25, 20/06/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (2) Vergara.
On Pacers (6) Georgey Aeroplane, (3) Pajaro, (5) Pythagorean, (14) Role Model.
Mid Fielders (13) Kaypers, (10) Magic Hurricane, (1) Hollywood Bound, (9) Laurie's Love.
Get Back (7) Keep Cool, (11) Thought Worthy, (12) Casino Dancer, (4) Ghost Protocol, (8) Let Me Handle It, (15) Heresdecasino.
PACE COMMENTS Vergara is well fancied and expected to get a comfortable lead here from her inside draw. Pajero is also well thought of in early markets and should get a great run just in behind the leader from gate 3. Magic Hurricane looks to settle mid field from a wide gate and hopefully get some cover. Should be just enough tempo here from Vergara and the on pace runners to ensure an overall genuine tempo.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Magic Hurricane PLUS: Drops in grade, winner only run here, goes well 2nd up. A 0
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 7 runs on wet ground.    
Hollywood Bound PLUS: Good record at both track and at distance, has won on heavy ground, well drawn. B 0.75
  MINUS: Up in class, win strike rate could be better.    
Pajaro PLUS: From top stable, placed all 4 runs this track, down in class, well drawn. C 1.25
  MINUS: Yet to win in 7 runs on wet ground.    
Vergara PLUS: Easy last start winner at Rosehill, should get easy lead, well drawn. D 3.25
  MINUS: Unplaced all 3 runs on heavy ground.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Role Model (yet to win in 7 wet runs, drawn very wide).
OUTCLASSED Thought Worthy, Keep Cool, Pythagorean, Casino Dancer, Ghost Protocol, Laurie's Love, Let Me Handle It, Heresdecasino.
Quadrella Race# Randwick 20 June 2015
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