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Randwick Race 8: Sharp Japan Racing Association Plate 2000m

15/04/2016: This is a really tough affair with a host of chances and without any real conviction we'll opt for Havana Cooler with a red hot James McDonald aboard as the premier selection. This Irish import broke through for his maiden win in this country in a 1500m Group 3 event when racing 1st up at Rosehill last start and the step up to 2000m here looks a big plus. Has won when produced 2nd up in the past and was placed in the Group 1 Metropolitan last Spring. Former French galloper Guardini has shown improvement in each of his 3 runs in this country and was only just bloused out over 2000m at Group 3 level at Caulfield last time out. Has to overcome a horror draw but looks to have a hoof on the till and looms as a real threat. The lightly raced Maurus has won 4 from 14 and has been placed at this level. Looks to have genuine each way credentials and sure to give backers a good sight off what should be a soft run in transit from inside draw. Messene has been runner up last 2 runs this class and distance and is looking to go one better in this. Has been beaten at his last 15 runs and that is the major worry for backers. Sadler's Lake has a good winning strike rate and strong form here at Randwick winning 3 times from 6 runs. Has been unplaced both runs this preparation but margins have been relatively close up. Winner this distance and could be the big improver, any market moves could be significant.

Randwick Race 8. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:25, 16/04/2016

RACEMAPSharp Japan Racing Association Plate 2000m
Front Runners (11) Messene, (16) Hippopus.
On Pacers (12) Sense Of Occasion, (8) Beyond Thankful, (7) Sadler's Lake, (6) Aomen.
Mid Fielders (17) Guardini, (15) Magicool, (4) Maurus, (3) Casino Dancer.
Get Back (5) Index Linked, (1) Rudy, (9) Terrubi, (10) Hawkspur, (13) Weary, (2) Havana Cooler, (14) Moriarty.
PACE COMMENTS Tipping Messene will cross straight to the rail from gate 11 but may pressed by Hippopus who could be fired up from the wide draw and may look to go on with and search for the rail. Add a number of on pace runners into the equation and there seems little doubt that there won't be anything less than a genuine or even strong pace in this event. Early favourite Havana Cooler draws an inside gate but is expected to drift rearward early. Sadler's Lake should race up on the speed here and work into a good trailing position from gate 7.
CHANCESSharp Japan Racing Association Plate 2000mOrderMargin
Havana Cooler PLUS: Proven this level, step up in distance a plus, has won 2nd up, star rider engaged. A 0
  MINUS: Will probably get a long way back.    
Guardini PLUS: Winner up to 2400m, improved every run this country, looks ready to peak. B 0.75
  MINUS: Has to overcome a horror draw.    
Maurus PLUS: Won 4 placed 7 in 14, placed this level, drawn to get a sweet run. C 1
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Messene PLUS: Runner up last 2 this class and distance, winner this track. D 2
  MINUS: Has been beaten at last 15 runs.    
Sadler's Lake PLUS: Strong record this track, winner this distance. E 2.25
  MINUS: Unplaced both runs this preparation.    
Quadrella Race# Randwick 16 April 2016
Randwick 6 Hall Mark Stakes 1200m
Randwick 7 Schweppes All Aged Stakes 1400m
Randwick 8 Sharp Japan Racing Association Plate 2000m
Randwick 9 Tab Royal Randwick BM100 1400m
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EXOTICS Sharp Japan Racing Association Plate 2000m
Exacta

A: 3 4 11 17

B: 2 3 4 11 17

Trifecta

A: 3 4 11 17

B: 2 3 4 11 17

C: 2 3 4 11 17

First Four

A: 3 4 11 17

B: 3 4 11 17

C: 2 3 4 11 17

D: 2 3 4 11 17

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