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Rosehill Race 5: Jockey Celebration Day BM90 1300m

31/07/2015: Although yet to be proven on soft ground Centre Pivot has plenty of stats going for him that suggest he'll be right in the thick of things here. Centre Pivot drops in grade and has won 2 from 3 at the track, and although yet to win 1st up has had the benefit of a recent trial win. Countryman looks the likely leader here and should be in this for a long way. Countryman was beaten by a very smart one last time out, has won on soft ground and also over this distance. Adorabeel is a winner at Group 3 level and is well placed in a BM90, this mare has won on soft ground and is well drawn. Yet to win 1st up but could easily break through this class. Idance rounds out the quartet of main chances and is unbeaten both runs this distance. Idance is a winner on soft ground and is well drawn. This last start winner rates strongly here to win again. Coolring rates a genuine place chance.

Rosehill Race 5. RaceTime: AEST 14:45, 01/08/2015

RACEMAPJockey Celebration Day BM90 1300m
Front Runners (8) Countryman.
On Pacers (9) Howmuchdoyouloveme, (7) Coolring, (1) Idance.
Mid Fielders (2) Centre Pivot, (4) Casual Choice, (5) Adorabeel, (3) Jacakaizane.
Get Back (10) Fine Bubbles, (6) Turbulent Jet.
PACE COMMENTS Countryman led them up last time and is expected to have little trouble crossing from gate 8 and doing similar here. Howmuchdoyouloveme, Coolring and Idance usually settle right up on the pace with the fancied Idance expending the least early energy to get a sweet run from the inside gate. Early favourite Centre Pivot has drawn next to Idance in gate 2 and is expected to settle just behind the listed pace brigade. Pace assessment here is genuine.
CHANCESJockey Celebration Day BM90 1300mOrderMargin
Centre Pivot PLUS: Won 2 from 3 at track, drops in grade, well drawn, recent trial winner. A 0
  MINUS: Unproven soft ground, beaten both previous 1st up runs.    
Countryman PLUS: Should get easy lead, beaten by smart galloper last time out, winner soft, winner distance. B 1
  MINUS: Yet to win this class.    
Adorabeel PLUS: Winner Group 3 level, well drawn, winner soft ground. C 1.25
  MINUS: Yet to win 4 first up runs.    
Idance PLUS: Last start winner, unbeaten both runs this distance, well drawn, winner soft. D 2.25
  MINUS: Rises in grade.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 1 August 2015
Rosehill 5 Jockey Celebration Day BM90 1300m
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