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Rosehill Race 5: Primo Smallgoods BM90 1200m

17/07/2015: Race favourite Shiraz is putting together a fine career record and stands alone as a clear top choice in this. Shiraz has won 7 from 12 career starts and was a comfortable winner last time out on heavy going at this track in a stronger class race. Shiraz has won 3 from 4 runs here at Rosehill and should pack too many guns for the opposition. Cradle Me ran a good race at Listed level two runs back and wasn’t far away when 4th on heavy ground last time. This mare races well here at Rosehill and should be ready to peak at 4th run back, although best for has been on firm ground. Countryman has won 4 and placed 6 times in 16 runs and has won on soft ground. Has top jockey / trainer combo and is well drawn. Casual Choice has been runner up in both runs on heavy and should have finished closer to winner last time out. This gelding should again be around the mark from good draw. Fireball is unbeaten in both runs on heavy ground and has been placed 5 times here without winning. Should get conditions to suit and another placing is on the cards.

Rosehill Race 5. RaceTime: AEST 14:35, 18/07/2015

RACEMAPPrimo Smallgoods BM90 1200m
Front Runners (4) Countryman.
On Pacers (3) Jacakaizane, (2) Fireball, (8) All Sixes.
Mid Fielders (9) Shiraz, (6) Mount Nebo, (5) Canny Ballad.
Get Back (7) Cradle Me (1) Casual Choice.
PACE COMMENTS Doesn't appear to be a great deal of top end pressure here and Countryman should have little trouble rolling to the front from gate 4. Favourite Shiraz should settle mid field in this, but with the smallish field, could even be considered to be one of the on pace brigade. Other fancies in the top four betting in Cradle Me and Casual Choice will both drop out and may find it tough late with the predicted tempo particularly if Countryman gets away with a few cheap sectionals. Pace assessment is moderate to genuine.
CHANCESPrimo Smallgoods BM90 1200mOrderMargin
Shiraz PLUS: Won 7 from 12, winner only run heavy ground, drops in grade, won 3 from 4 at track. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Cradle Me PLUS: Goes well this track, strong run in listed company 2 runs back. B 2.5
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 13 at distance, win-less in 9 wet runs.    
Countryman PLUS: Won 4 placed 6 from 16, top rider /trainer combo, well drawn, won on soft ground. C 3
  MINUS: Beaten both runs this track, unknown heavy ground.    
Casual Choice PLUS: Runner up both runs on heavy, well drawn, should have finished closer to winner last time D 3.75
  MINUS: Unplaced all 3 runs track / distance, has been beaten last 9 starts.    
Fireball PLUS: Unbeaten both runs on heavy ground, drawn well. E 4.5
  MINUS: Up in class, beaten 12 at track and 10 at distance.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 18 July 2015
Rosehill 5 Primo Smallgoods BM90 1200m
Rosehill 6 Hungry Jacks BM75 1350m
Rosehill 7 Sydney Markets Ltd Winter Stakes 1400m
Rosehill 8 Forum Group BM78 1500m
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