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Rosehill Race 6: Cellarbrations Kotara BM85 1200m

13/11/2015: Alart looks at surprisingly good odds seeing she ticks a lot more boxes than a lot of her rivals in this. Alart has won 2 from 4 this track including a last start win here this class and distance. Her next win prior to last start was gain at this track in much stronger Listed company, this filly has a very high winning strike rate of 7 from her 13 starts. Drawn a little wide but still should take some beating. Role Model is yet to be unplaced in 4 first up runs including 1 win. Goes well this distance and is well drawn and won a recent barrier trial very comfortably. I Am Zelady has 1 win and 5 places from only 6 runs and has a win and a 2nd from two 1st up runs. Only win to date was a maiden and the class here may worry, but looked good winning recent trial. Typhoon Jolie is another recent trial winner returning from a spell, has won 3 with 2 placings from 8 and is unbeaten both runs this track. Yet to be tested past BM 70 but looks to have ability. Fiftyshadesofgrey has won 2 of her 4 wins at this track and is proven this level in the past. Gets a fair way back but could be charging late if race is run to suit.

Rosehill Race 6. Track Condition: HEAVY (9). Weather: LIGHT RAIN. RaceTime: AEDT 15:40, 14/11/2015

RACEMAPCellarbrations Kotara BM85 1200m
Front Runners (1) Hebden, (6) Typhoon Jolie.
On Pacers (3) Miss Tenpins, (4) Palazzo Pubblico, (8) I Am Zelady, (5) Role Model.
Mid Fielders (12) Sense And Reason, (11) Alart, (9) All Cerise.
Get Back (2) Press Report, (10) Fiftyshadesofgrey.
PACE COMMENTS The two nominated leaders here have both drawn well and it may very well be a case of which jockey wants the lead more. Hebden was in second position throughout last time but led all 3 starts prior to that and Typhoon Jolie has led a her last two starts. Tipping Hebden purely through gate 1 may hold the fence. The 4 listed on pace runners along with the two leaders should easily ensure a genuine tempo in this event. Early favourite I Am Zelady will settle back but will certainly be not disadvantaged by the predicted race pace.
CHANCESCellarbrations Kotara BM85 1200mOrderMargin
Alart PLUS: Listed winner here 3 runs back, goes well this track, goes well this distance. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn a bit wide.    
Role Model PLUS: Goes well first up, recent trial winner, well drawn. B 1.25
  MINUS: Yet to win in 4 runs here.    
I Am Zelady PLUS: 1 win 5 placings from 6 runs, recent trial winner, goes well 1st up. C 2
  MINUS: Only win to date was maiden class.    
Typhoon Jolie PLUS: Won 3 placed 2 from 8, recent trial winner, well drawn, unbeaten both runs here, D 2.25
  MINUS: Class rise.    
Fiftyshadesofgrey PLUS: Proven this class, goes well this track, won the Hyland Race Colours BM85 and was 2nd in the Ruben Guthrie BM85. E 2.75
  MINUS: Gets a long way back, inexperienced rider.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 14 November 2015
Rosehill 6 Cellarbrations Kotara BM85 1200m
Rosehill 7 Cellarbrations Wyong November Handicap 1350m
Rosehill 8 Cellarbrations In Hills BM78 1350m
Rosehill 9 Skyla's Screamer BM84 1500m
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