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Rosehill Race 6: Cellarbrations Phar Lap Stakes 1500m

11/03/2016: This looks a tricky race and not really much confidence on the final outcome. Victorian galloper Sacred Eye has won 2 and placed 2 from 6 runs and has been placed this level as well as winning at Group 3 level. Only fair 1st up last time after suffering early interference and should go better here with clear sailing. Old North faces a steep rise in class here but having said that this is not a strong Group 2 event at all. From top stable and comes off an easy last start win at Warwick Farm in restricted grade. Well drawn and was a winner at his only other run 2nd up. Single Gaze was beaten by a potential top liner last time out when runner up to Ghisoni this level at Randwick. Has only 1 win from 11 runs in career so far but if can replicate last effort here that can change very quickly. Believe is unbeaten in both career runs to date including 1 this track and distance, faces big jump in class here but done nothing wrong so far and watch market for any moves. Italy has been twice placed at Group level and comes off a last start Listed victory at Canberra. Shouldn't be too far away with the right run in this.

Rosehill Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 15:30, 12/03/2016

RACEMAPCellarbrations Phar Lap Stakes 1500m
Front Runners (6) Believe.
On Pacers (3) Sacred Eye, (2) Single Gaze.
Mid Fielders (1) Man Of Choice, (9) Tatoosh, (10) Italy.
Get Back (5) Old North, (4) Torgersen, (7) Intrepid Way, (8) Hattori Hanzo.
PACE COMMENTS Not a great deal of top end speed on paper here with only 3 runners deemed to have any early tactical speed. Believe is tipped to cross from gate 8 and take up the running with the other two pace runners in Sacred Eye and Single Gaze positioning themselves from good draws in perfect trailing spots just in behind. Early fancy Old North is expected to drop out early and will be looking for a genuine speed here not to be pace disadvantaged at the rear. Pace assessment is moderate to genuine.
CHANCESCellarbrations Phar Lap Stakes 1500mOrderMargin
Sacred Eye PLUS: Winner Grp 3 level, placed Grp 2 level, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: First run at clockwise direction.    
Old North PLUS: Won 2 from 4, powerful rider/trainer combo, easy winner lesser grade last time. B 0.5
  MINUS: Big rise in class.    
Single Gaze PLUS: Beaten by potential star this level last time, winner this track, well drawn. C 1.25
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 11 runs.    
Believe PLUS: Unbeaten in both runs, winner track and distance. D 2
  MINUS: Big rise in class.    
Italy PLUS: Has been placed Grp 2 level, last start Listed winner in Canberra. E 3.25
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
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EXOTICS Cellarbrations Phar Lap Stakes 1500m
Exacta

A: 5 7 8 10

B: 5 7 8 10

Trifecta

A: 5 7 8

B: 5 7 8 10

C: 5 7 8 9 10

First Four

A: 5 7 8 9 10

B: 5 7 8 10

C: 5 7 8 9 10

D: 5 7 8 9 10

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