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Rosehill Race 6: Expressway Stakes 1200m

30/01/2015: The conditions of this race are really going to suit limit weight runner Panzer Division. This colt races 1st up here and won when doing so at his only other 1st up run. Panzer Division will lead these comfortably and James McDonald will look to control the race in front. Panzer Division has a win and a 2nd at his only 2 runs on heavy ground the predicted going for this race and looks the one they will all have to get past in the straight. Weary also returns from the spelling paddock but has won won 1st up in the past and races well when fresh, also has won on heavy ground and should be finishing the race off strongly at the business end. Malavio has good career strike rates and has been placed at Group 2 level. Has won twice in 6 1st up runs and has good soft ground form. Territory is a multiple winner this track and has reasonable overall wet form, has also won 2nd up and shouldn't be too far off the placings in this.

Rosehill Race 6. RaceTime: AEDT 16:15, 31/01/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (11) Panzer Division.
On Pacers (10) That's A Good Idea, (5) Driefontein.
Mid Fielders (2) Beaten Up, (1) Hawkspur, (6) Malavio.
Get Back (8) Thermal Current, (3) Boban, (4) Weary, (9) Bagman, (7) Territory.
PACE COMMENTS Not a great deal of top end speed in this at all and although drawn the outside early favourite Panzer Division should easily find the fence in the first 100m or so of this event and look to control the race from there. That's A Good Idea is out there too and will also look to cross and sit just off the pace. Both Boban and Weary should drop out early and look to close the race out strongly late, however if Panzer Division gets away with a few cheap sectionals their task coming from the rear will be that much harder.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Panzer Division PLUS: Winner only run1st up, goes well heavy ground, will lead these easily. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn wide.    
Weary PLUS: Goes well fresh, has won on heavy ground, placed all 3 runs this track. B 1
  MINUS: Gets a fair way back in run.    
Malavio PLUS: Good career strike rates, won 3 this track, goes well on wet ground. C 2.5
  MINUS: Unplaced when racing 1st up last time.    
Territory PLUS: Won 2 placed 2 in 5 runs track and distance, goes OK in wet. D 3.75
  MINUS: Class rise.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Boban (only placed 1 in 7 on wet ground), Hawkspur (poor at distance and 1st up), That's A Good Idea (poor wet form), Driefontein (poor wet form).
OUTCLASSED Beaten Up, Bagman, Thermal Current.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 31 January 2015
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