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Rosehill Race 6: Get Well Lt Col Colin BM79 1200m

29/05/2015: In another open affair the Gerald Ryan trained Aerobar may have enough firepower to tip out some of the more fancied candidates at double figure odds. Aerobar looks really well graded here dropping from open class in which she won a $100k event two runs back and close up in the million dollar Magic Millions last run. Goes well on wet ground. Bascule is another who will appreciate this grade after racing at Group level at the end of last prep. Bascule is a winner at his only start on soft ground and has good form over the distance. Grunderzeit rises in grade here but is showing plenty of early promise and has won 3 from 6 runs with a placing. Failed only run on wet ground but must be given a 2nd chance. Kaepernick has exactly the same win place career stats as Grunderzeit but did win these conditions this track last time out and sure to produce forward showing again. Good Project rates also a place chance.

Rosehill Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:05, 30/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (7) Mohave, (1) Mr Manhattan.
On Pacers (11) Good Project, (6) Grunderzeit, (3) Crooked Blaze, (10) Aerobar.
Mid Fielders (8) Cyclone, (9) Kaepernick, (5) Savoureax, (2) Avonaco.
Get Back (4) Bascule.
PACE COMMENTS The early speed here should come from both Mohave and Mr Manhattan and one of that pair is expected to take up the running, this accompanied with the 4 listed on pace runners should provide a good early and overall race tempo. Early favourite Kaepernmick is expected to settle mid field whilst Mohave's more fancied stablemate Grunderzeit has drawn well and should get a good passage just off the speed.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Aerobar PLUS: Drops in grade, goes well in wet, from very astute stable, goes well fresh. A 0
  MINUS: Unplaced both runs this track.    
Bascule PLUS: Drops in grade, winner only run in wet, drawn well, goes well fresh. B 1
  MINUS: Well back in recent trial.    
Grunderzeit PLUS: Won 3 from 6, winner only run at distance, well drawn. C 1.5
  MINUS: Failed only run in wet, unplaced only run this track.    
Kaepernick PLUS: Won 3 from 6, winner last time this track on soft ground, winner only other 2nd up run. D 2
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Mohave, Crooked Blaze, Savoureaux, Avonaco, Mr Manhattan, Cyclone.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 30 May 2015
Rosehill 5 Octagonal Handicap 1400m
Rosehill 6 Get Well Lt Col Colin BM79 1200m
Rosehill 7 Schweppes BM85 1500m
Rosehill 8 Ranvet BM85 1200m
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