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Rosehill Race 6: McDonald House Golden Pendant 1400m

25/09/2015: Tipping Arabian Gold here to upset the odds on favourite in Catkins. Arabian Gold is proven this level and is a winner only run this track and distance, produced top effort on return from spell from very wide gate and draws the inside in this. Races well 2nd up and looks a huge threat in this. It pains me to tip against one of my favourite mares in Catkins but the 1400m has been a bit of a bogey distance for her winning only once in 8 runs, throw in as well that she statistically doesn't go quite as well 2nd up as opposed to 1st up and she may be a little vulnerable here particularly at the quote. Having said that, she has an outstanding record this track and class and is one of the country's best mares. Slightly Sweet is a dual Group 3 winner and has a strong record this distance. Cannot see her troubling the top 2 but good chance to finish 3rd. Amanpour is a Group 1 winner and is well drawn, best form is over longer and should be hitting the line hard late.

Rosehill Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:45, 26/09/2015

RACEMAPMcDonald House Golden Pendant 1400m
Front Runners (2) Two Blue.
On Pacers (3) Peeping, (5) Catkins, (4) Vergara.
Mid Fielders (1) Arabian Gold, (6) Amanpour.
Get Back (8) Slightly Sweet, (7) Berry Delicious.
PACE COMMENTS Two Blue looks a shoe in to take up her favoured front running position. Peeping, Catkins and Vergara should settle in the next 3 in running positions behind Two Blue. Arabian Gold and Amanpur should fill the next two with both Slightly Sweet and Berry Delicious out the back early. Smallish field here should see runners slot into position fairly quickly and no surprise if this affair is run along at only a moderate tempo, which is always a concern for those punting on events as such.
CHANCESMcDonald House Golden Pendant 1400mOrderMargin
Arabian Gold PLUS: Proven this level, winner only start track and distance, much better draw this week. A 0
  MINUS: Has been beaten last 7 runs.    
Catkins PLUS: Brilliant record this track and class, one of Australia's best mares. B 0.5
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 8 this distance, doesn't go quite as well 2nd up.    
Slightly Sweet PLUS: Dual Grp 3 winner, strong record this distance. C 3.5
  MINUS: Beaten all 3 runs this track, beaten both 2nd up runs to date.    
Amanpour PLUS: Grp 1 winner, well drawn. D 4
  MINUS: Best form is further than 1400m.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 26 September 2015
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Rosehill 6 McDonald House Golden Pendant 1400m
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