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Rosehill Race 6: Perfection Fresh Handicap 1500m

26/06/2015: Victorian raider Good Value is a rising 9 yo but is relatively lightly raced with only 22 starts and appeals as a strong each way contender in this event. Good Value performs strongly on wet ground and has won 2 and a 2nd in 3 runs on heavy, top performance last time out when close up 3rd at Flemington after racing wide. Well drawn and is a winner this grade. Rugged Cross drops back from Group 3 level when good 3rd in Hawkesbury Cup and like the top selection has strong form on heavy tracks. Is a winner here and sure to play a part again. Mirage has won 5 from 8 and won well last time in slow going at Sydney debut, steps up a little in distance but will race right up on the pace and should be in this for a long way. You'll Never has won 4 races this track with back to back wins two starts back on slow going, has drawn well and usually hits the line hard in his races. Another bold showing is on the cards. Beauty's Beast was just gunned down late by Mirage last time and should give plenty again from a forward running position, some question on heavy ground but has good strike rates. Both Rockalong and Cafe Society rate place chances.

Rosehill Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:05, 27/06/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (2) Moral Victory, (4) Mirage, (7) Beauty's Beast.
On Pacers (6) Sinjoren.
Mid Fielders (3) Good Value, (8) Rugged Cross, (1) You'll Never, (10) Café Society.
Get Back (5) Scottish Border, (11) Eigelstein, (9) Rockalong.
PACE COMMENTS Early favourite Mirage has drawn perfectly and along with Moral Victory who has also drawn well should settle down as the first two in the run, with Beauty's Beast and Sinjoren settling just in behind. You'll Never has drawn the inside gate but is expected to drift back to a mid field or slightly worse position with last start winner Rockalong dropping out early. Looks enough top end speed from leader to assess the pace as being genuine.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Good Value PLUS: Very strong wet track form, drawn well, big run last time out, proven this grade. A 0
  MINUS: Always hard to win interstate on debut.    
Rugged Cross PLUS: Drops in grade, top form heavy going, winner this track and distance. B 0.75
  MINUS: Needs track to remain heavy or chances will plummet.    
Mirage PLUS: Good win this track and class last run, has won 5 from 8, perfect draw for ideal run. C 1
  MINUS: Untried beyond 1400m.    
You'll Never PLUS: Winner 4 races this track, won 2 from 3 this prep, usually strong at the end of his races. D 1.25
  MINUS: Best form has been on dry tracks.    
Beauty's Beast PLUS: Just beaten on line this track and class last time, won 3 on soft tracks. E 2.5
  MINUS: Unplaced both runs on heavy ground, rise in distance an issue?    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Eiglestein, Scottish Border, Moral Victory, Sinjoren.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 27 June 2015
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