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Rosehill Race 6: Rydges Parramatta BM69 1300m

01/01/2016: The winner here should come from the top two market order runners with a slight preference to Selita to tip out the more favoured Miss Royale. Selita drops slightly in grade here and looked good comfortably winning a BM 72 last time at Canterbury over 1250m. The slight distance increase shouldn't worry nor should the return to firmer ground. Beat better performed runner last time than Miss Royale and that sways the selection. Miss Royale was an easy winner in a BM 66 at Warwick Farm last time and does rise in grade for this assignment and showed clear liking for firm going at first attempt. Waller trained runner who should improve further and take some beating. Abohar is also a last start Warwick Farm winner at BM 67 level and has won 2 from 6 runs. Both wins have been on soft ground whereas both runs on good going have been unplaced and that is the concern here if the track remains good. Has been placed in open company in Queensland and still rates highly here with James McDonald aboard. Gocup Belle should lead these and has won 5 races from 17 runs, needs to improve on last effort and if she does could prove hard to run down.

Rosehill Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 15:45, 02/01/2016

RACEMAPRydges Parramatta BM69 1300m
Front Runners (2) Gocup Belle.
On Pacers (7) Selita, (3) Smooth Element, (5) La Bella Rouge.
Mid Fielders (4) Abohar, (11) Bonete, (6) Catseye Surprise, (10) Champawi.
Get Back (1) Miss Royale, (9) Tears In Heaven, (8) Hesco Gold.
PACE COMMENTS Gocup Belle shouldn't have any issues holding the lead here from gate 2. Selita, Smooth Element and La Bella Rouge are the other 3 runners with early tactical speed and should provide enough frontal pressure to Gocup Belle to ensure a genuine tempo. If this is in fact the case then race favourite Miss Royale who should drop and race rearward shouldn't be disadvantaged by the race tempo. Abohar will have admirers and should settle in the behind the leading brigade from a good draw.
CHANCESRydges Parramatta BM69 1300mOrderMargin
Selita PLUS: Drops in grade, easy last start winner at Canterbury. A 0
  MINUS: Unknown past 1250m.    
Miss Royale PLUS: Easy last start winner at Warwick Farm, from the Waller yard, winner only run this distance. B 0.5
  MINUS: Rises in grade, gets back.    
Abohar PLUS: Winner only run this distance, last start winner at Warwick Farm. C 2.25
  MINUS: Both wins to date have been on soft ground, unplaced both runs on good.    
Gocup Belle PLUS: Has good strike rates, should get easy lead here from good draw, drops in grade. D 3.25
  MINUS: Poor last time when 5th of 6, failed all runs past 1200m.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 2 January 2016
Rosehill 6 Rydges Parramatta BM69 1300m
Rosehill 7 Tab More Than Winning BM85 1900m
Rosehill 8 McGrath Estate Agents BM89 1400m
Rosehill 9 Tab.Com.Au BM78 1200m
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EXOTICS Rydges Parramatta BM69 1300m
Exacta

A: 4 5

B: 1 3 4 5

Trifecta

A: 4 5

B: 1 3 4 5

C: 1 3 4 5

First Four

A: 4 5

B: 1 3 4 5

C: 1 3 4 5 11

D: 1 3 4 5 11

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