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Rosehill Race 6: Winter Stakes 1400m

15/07/2016: I'm banking on the track drying out a bit between time of writing and Saturday and not being heavy and going with the class runner here in Ninth Legion who will be looking for his 3rd consecutive at Listed level in this event. This gelding has hit back strongly after a patch of ordinary performances and looks back to his bets which will give him a class edge over most of these. If by chance the track is heavy then Tales Of Grimm could be the way to go instead. This Chris Waller trained runner comes off a last start win at this level at Eagle Farm and has won here at Rosehill in the past. Better Not Blue only narrowly failed to run down Ninth Legion last time and doesn't have to improve too much on that effort to turn the tables in this. Will definitely need affected going again to produce best, the wetter the better. Snippets Land was 4th in that same race behind Ninth Legion and has won at Group 3 level in the past. Winner up to 1600m and maps well here off a good draw. Marenostro comes right into play if the track is worse than a Soft 6 and Shadow Lord has some claims at good odds.

Rosehill Race 6. Track Condition: SOFT (6). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 14:35, 16/07/2016

RACEMAPWinter Stakes 1400m
Front Runners (3) Oxford Poet.
On Pacers (1) Marenostro, (5) Snippets Land, (6) Hidden Warrior, (9) Ninth Legion.
Mid Fielders (8) Shadow Lord, (10) Tales Of Grimm.
Get Back (2) Wouldnt It Be Nice, (4) Zin Zan Eddie, (7) Better Not Blue.
PACE COMMENTS Not much concern about Oxford Poet going to the lead and my on pacers will be just sitting behind the leader waiting for him to weaken. This race map indicates the pace will be average at best and I would be wary about the back markers and mid fielders. They will need to be good to run over those ahead if pace is an indication.
CHANCESWinter Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Ninth Legion PLUS: Proven this level, winner Last 2 runs, goes well this distance, goes well this track. A 0
  MINUS: Probably needs the going to be better than an S7.    
Tales Of Grimm PLUS: Proven this level, winner this track, winner this distance B 0.75
  MINUS: Has never won back to back races.    
Better Not Blue PLUS: Just beaten this trk/class last run, loves wet ground. C 1.25
  MINUS: Yet to win past BM 78.    
Snippets Land PLUS: Winner Group 3 level, winner this distance, well drawn. D 2
  MINUS: Yet to place in 6 runs this track.    
Marenostro PLUS: Goes well this track, goes well this distance, excels on wet ground. E 2.75
  MINUS: Failed to beat a runner home this class last run.    
Shadow Lord PLUS: Goes well this distance, has been placed this track. F 3.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 16 July 2016
Rosehill 6 Winter Stakes 1400m
Rosehill 7 Tab.Com.Au Handicap BM93 1200m
Rosehill 8 Pluck @ Vinery Handicap BM85 1350m
Rosehill 9 McGrath Estate Agents BM77 1200m
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EXOTICS Winter Stakes 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 2 3 9

B: 1 2 3 9

Trifecta

A: 1 2 3 4 9

B: 1 2 3 4 9

C: 1 2 3 4 9

First Four

A: 1 2 3 9

B: 1 2 3 9

C: 1 2 3 4 9

D: 1 2 3 4 9 10

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