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Rosehill Race 7: Coolmore Classic 1500m

13/03/2015: First Seal looks a star in the making and has returned to racing in fine fettle in which she trounced rivals at 2nd run back last time in the Group 2 Surround at Warwick Farm. Drawn a little wide in this but has won 4 and placed 3 in only 8 starts and clearly appeals as the one they all have to get over. Arabian Gold is a class conveyance whose stocks will rise significantly if the track is wet. Drawn wide but if she gets the breaks needed and wet conditions she is a huge threat. Plucky Belle was runner up to gun mare Catkins last time out and has previously displayed enough ability to win a race like this if the cards fall the right way. Mahara steamed home from a mile back last time at Group 3 level and will be fitter for 2 runs back. Adrift was a shock winner 2 runs back at Group 2 level and has obvious ability having won 3 of only 5 starts. Could provide another knockout blow if some of the fancies are off their game.

Rosehill Race 7. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 14/03/2015

Front Runners (11) Tarloshan.
On Pacers (7) Thump, (2) Amicus.
Mid Fielders (10) Diamond Drille, (12) Dear Demi, (11) First Seal, (8) Plucky Belle, (6) Hera, (3) Adrift, (9) Abduction.
Get Back (5) Tinto (13) Arabian Gold, (4) Mahara.
PACE COMMENTS Another race with not a great deal of top end speed. Tarloshan is expected to cross from gate 11 and look for the rail, however Amicus may make full use of an inside draw and look to hold the rail. Thump should position up behind that pair and enjoy a good run. Hot favourite First Seal is drawn wide and will look to get in with cover around mid field. Pace Assessment is moderate to good.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
First Seal PLUS: Rising star, bolted in last run, won 4 placed 3 from 8 runs. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn wide, did get beat only run this track.    
Arabian Gold PLUS: Winner only run on this track, Group 1 placed, loves wet ground. B 1.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
Plucky Belle PLUS: Beaten by one of the best at Group 2 level last time, twice placed this track. C 3
  MINUS: Has been beaten last 8 runs.    
Mahara PLUS: Winner Group 3 level, charged home late from rear last time, well drawn D 3.25
  MINUS: Unplaced both runs here.    
Adrift PLUS: Winner Group 2 level, has won 3 from only 5 runs. E 3.75
  MINUS: Went poorly on soft ground last time.    
RISKY Dear Demi (unplaced all 3 runs at distance), Thump (unplaced all 3 runs this track).
OUTCLASSED Diamond Drille, Tinto, Amicus, Hera, Tarloshan, Abduction.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 14 March 2015
Rosehill 6 McGrath Sky High Stakes 2000m
Rosehill 7 Coolmore Classic 1500m
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Rosehill 9 Apn Outdoor Ajax Stakes 1500m
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