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Rosehill Race 7: The 2015 Darley Crown 1300m

08/05/2015: If the predicted heavy going remains for this meeting then My Sabeel appeals as a strong each way chance at nice odds. My Sabeel is proven at this level and won 2 and placed 4 on heavy ground. Has good form over this distance and has drawn well. Solicit is top class at best and has drawn perfectly in gate 3 to ping straight to the lead. Solicit is a recent trial winner and performs well on wet ground, she also races well fresh and no surprise to see her back in the winners stall after this. Peron drops in grade here and is proven this level, has won on soft ground although she hasn't won for some time is real winning chance if she can produce anywhere near best. Calming Influence rises in grade but is undefeated in both runs here and has been placed on heavy ground. Rates a chance if she can handle the class. Peace Force rates a good place chance.

Rosehill Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 14:35, 09/05/2015

Front Runners (3) Solicit, (4) Calming Influence.
On Pacers (2) Vergara, (7) Peace Force, (1) Najoom.
Mid Fielders (9) Dublin Lass, (11) Mamwaazel, (8) Copy.
Get Back (5) My Sabeel, (6) Peron, (10) Belle De Cour.
PACE COMMENTS Solicit and Calming Influence have both drawn good gates and are expected to have an early tussle to see which one leads. Peron will be well fancied in this but is expected to drift back rearward when they slot into position. There appears enough top end speed on paper with the leaders and the on pace runners to suggest the overall pace here will be genuine.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
My Sabeel PLUS: Loves heavy ground, proven this level, good record at distance. A 0
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 12 runs this track, coming off awkward break.    
Solicit PLUS: Top class when right, recent trial winner, handles wet ground, well drawn. B 0.75
  MINUS: Been a while since she's won, coming off awkward break.    
Peron PLUS: Drops in grade, proven this level, won on soft ground. C 1.75
  MINUS: Hasn’t won for quite a while, can get a long way back in races.    
Calming Influence PLUS: Unbeaten both runs this track, placed on heavy, good record at distance. D 3.5
  MINUS: Has failed to place all 4 runs this level in past.    
RISKY Vergara (big class rise).
OUTCLASSED Mamwaazel, Bel De Cour, Copy.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 9 May 2015
Rosehill 7 The 2015 Darley Crown 1300m
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