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Rosehill Race 7: The BMW 2400m

25/03/2016: Our Ivanhowe should be ready to peak now at 3rd run back, and at the same stage last preparation ran 3rd In the Group 1 Caulfield Cup. Our Ivanhowe was only 1.6 lengths adrift last start when 5th in the Australian Cup at Flemington. He is a 3 time winner over the 2400m journey so the return to that distance is a major plus. Mongolian Khan was the winner of that Caulfield Cup and is yet to taste defeat in 3 runs over the 2400m. Has been below par in both runs this campaign since a bout of colic denied him the opportunity of annexing the Melbourne Cup and completing the big cups double. Has to be taken on trust 'til he shows form again but the 2400m here is right in his favour. Preferment is a dual Group winner and comes here off the back of one of those wins in the Australian Cup last time out at Flemington. Has failed last 3 runs beyond 2000m but has won the VRC Derby over 2500m. Last time he won he followed up with a subsequent win so rates highly here for sure. Rising Romance has been a little hard to follow in recent times but must rate on last start 3rd in the Australian Cup behind Preferment. Has won this distance but has been beaten last 11 runs. Needs best form to be a factor here but if can find will be in the thick of things. Montaigne is lightly raced and showing big potential. Last start runner up to Tarzino in Rosehill Guineas brings him into contention for a race like this, and may further improve over added distance.

Rosehill Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:30, 26/03/2016

RACEMAPThe BMW 2400m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Rising Romance, (4) Preferment, (6) Mongolian Khan.
Mid Fielders (9) Storm The Stars, (7) Who Shot Thebarman, (10) Arab Dawn.
Get Back (2) Montaigne, (3) Grand Marshal, (8) Our Ivanhowe, (5) Almoonqith
PACE COMMENTS No regular pace maker involved with this lot and possibly Rising Romance may be the most likely of the other pace runners to find herself in the pilots role here. Preferment raced a lot closer to the speed than normal when winning last time at Flemington so we should expect similar tactics here. Mongolian Khan should also get a soft run in the first 3 or 4 here. Small field suits but still some possible pace worries for the listed backmarkers in this event. Pace assessment here is only moderate.
CHANCESThe BMW 2400mOrderMargin
Our Ivanhowe PLUS: Placed in Caulfield Cup at same stage last prep, looks ready to peak here. A 0
  MINUS: First run Sydney way of going.    
Mongolian Khan PLUS: Last years Caulfield Cup winner, unbeaten in 3 runs over 2400m. B 0.75
  MINUS: Both runs back below best.    
Preferment PLUS: Winner up to 2500m, dual Grp 1 winner, well drawn. C 1
  MINUS: Beaten both runs this track.    
Rising Romance PLUS: Goes well at distance, Grp 1 winner, well drawn, good effort last run. D 2.25
  MINUS: Beaten last 11 runs.    
Montaigne PLUS: Won 2 placed 3 from 6 runs, beaten by top colt last time, extra ground could suit. E 3.5
  MINUS: Yet to win past BM 75.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 26 March 2016
Rosehill 6 Vinery Stud Stakes 2000m
Rosehill 7 The BMW 2400m
Rosehill 8 Emancipation Stakes 1500m
Rosehill 9 Hyland Race Colours Doncaster Prelude 1500m
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EXOTICS The BMW 2400m
Exacta

A: 1 6 7 9

B: 1 6 7 9

Trifecta

A: 1 6 7

B: 1 6 7 9 10

C: 1 6 7 9 10

First Four

A: 1 6 7

B: 1 6 7 9 10

C: 1 2 6 7 9 10

D: 1 2 6 7 9 10

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