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Rosehill Race 8: Blackwoods Galmet BM85 1500m

20/02/2015: Talented mare Adorabeel rises a little in grade here but on the strength of an easy win this track and distance last time should be up to the task. Prior to that win Adorabeel was only narrowly beaten by the smart Mardi here at Rosehill. Adorabeel should get the run of the race from gate 4 and send favourite backers home on a winning note. Black Revolver has won 1 and placed 1 over this track and distance and has drawn gate 1. Should be ready to peak at 3rd run back. Idance was a narrow but good winner in lesser grade at Warwick Farm last time and has strong career strike rates. Can easily figure in a race like this. Laidback Larry should get a charmed run in behind Spacecraft and is proven in better grade than this.

Rosehill Race 8. RaceTime: AEDT 17:35, 21/02/2015

RACEMAP  
Front Runners (14) Spacecraft, (5) Laidback Larry.  
On Pacers (13) Paederos, (8) Zin Zan Eddie, (9) Projectile, (4) Adorabeel, (3) Devonshire Duke.  
Mid Fielders (10 Black Revolver, (10) Montiro, (16) Too Hi Tek, (11) Idance.  
Get Back (7) Absalon, (12) Al Dhafra, (6) Wazn (15) Define, (2) Murcielaga.  
PACE COMMENTS Spacecraft is drawn extremely wide but is expected to push on from out there and eventually arrest the lead from Laidback Larry who should find the early fence in the first 50m. Zin Zan Eddie should position up nicely just off the first two as too will the well fancied Adorabeel from a perfect draw out of gate 4. Black Revolver has drawn gate 1 but will drift back little to around a mid field settling position. Again enough top end speed here to ensure an overall genuine tempo.  
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Adorabeel PLUS: Easy winner track and distance last time in lesser grade, perfectly drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Black Revolver PLUS: Has won 1 and placed 1 in 3 runs track and distance, fitter for 2 runs back. B 2
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 9 this track.    
Idance PLUS: Last start winner at Warwick Farm in lesser grade. C 3.25
  MINUS: Rises in grade, unplaced only run this track.    
Laidback Larry PLUS: Will get perfect run from draw, proven in better grade than this. D 4
  MINUS: Form not flattering last 5 runs.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Spacecraft (hasn't won many in recent times), Zin Zan Eddie (beaten all 4 runs this track).
OUTCLASSED Al Dhafra, Paederos, Absalon, Define, Projectile, Montiro, Murcielaga, Devonshire Duke.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 21 February 2015
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Rosehill 8 Blackwoods Galmet BM85 1500m
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