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Rosehill Race 8: Bob Rowles Tribute BM80 1200m

30/01/2015: Punters should be able to close out the Rosehill card on a winning note by backing Alias. Alias has won 5 of his 10 career starts to date and is unbeaten in both runs in heavy conditions. He is a winner 2nd up and has won 2 from 3 at the distance, drawn perfectly in gate 1 should take a power of beating. Oxford Poet will lead these and be in this for some time. Has been placed twice in 3 first up runs and has been placed 4 from 5 on soft ground. Has also won this level. Lorna May has good fresh form and has been placed this track, also placed at listed level and looks well graded in this race. Field Marshall goes well on soft ground and drops in grade from last run. Has good form 2nd up and shouldn't be far away in this. Aghamore has good form at both distance and on heavy ground, well drawn and is a recent trial winner. Should be ready to produce at 3rd run back.

Rosehill Race 8. RaceTime: AEDT 17:35, 31/01/2015

RACEMAP 
Front Runners (3) Devonshire Duke, Oxford Poet.
On Pacers (7) Law, (13) Nothing Like Luca, (4) Aghamore, (1) Alias, (5) Corryvreckan, (10) Collar, (2) Lorna May, (16) Lucky News.
Mid Fielders (15) Field Marshall, (11) Black Revolver, (9) Gold Epona.
Get Back (14) Kayjay's Joy, (8) Earnest Ernest, (12) Magic Dallas.
PACE COMMENTS Although Devonshire Duke has led on a few occasions he is almost certain to sit behind Oxford Poet who takes up the running almost every time. With those two and a host of on speed runners the pace assessment in this race is assessed to be good to fast. Early fancy Alias should get a great run just off the pace from an inside draw, whilst early outright favourite Black Revolver should race mid - field and will look to get in with cover from wide draw.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Alias PLUS: Won 2 from 3 at distance, unbeaten 2 runs heavy ground, drawn to get run of race. A 0
  MINUS: Unplaced only run this track, rises in grade.    
Oxford Poet PLUS: Winner only start at track and distance, placed 4 times on soft ground. B 2
  MINUS: Rises in grade, unplaced only run on heavy.    
Lorna May PLUS: Has been placed at listed level, goes well fresh. C 2.25
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 10 runs, failed only run on heavy.    
Field Marshall PLUS: Good form on soft ground, drops in grade. D 3.5
  MINUS: Has horror draw to contend with, unplaced both runs this track.    
Aghamore PLUS: Good form on heavy ground, good form this distance. E 3.75
  MINUS: Rises in grade, has inexperienced rider.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Black Revolver (unplaced all 4 runs in wet), Magic Dallas (yet to win 8 runs in wet), Law (unplaced all 3 runs in wet).
OUTCLASSED Nothing Like Luca, Devonshire Duke, Earnest Ernest, Gold Epona, Corryvreckan, Collar, Lucky News, Kayjay's Joy.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 31 January 2015
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