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Rosehill Race 8: Cellerbrations BM78 1350m

29/01/2016: This is a pretty tough leg and Elle Lou looks a good value bet on an each way basis. This mare turned in a terrific performance from a wide gate last time when 6th of 16 in very strong mares race at the Gold Coast. Draws an inside gate this time and should relish the class relief on offer here from last time out. Selita just keeps on winning and will be looking for her 5th win on the trot by contesting this event. Has to overcome a wide draw this time but won at her only run this track in the past and sure to make a strong fist of it again. Painted Firetail has a win and 2 placing's from only 3 starts to date and with the services of James McDonald rates strongly in this. Chances further enhanced if ground is wet. Miss Royale has a win and 4 placing's from 5 career runs, just beaten by Selita last time out and can easily go one better here with the right run. All Cerise is in career best form at the moment and despite rising in grade here should be right in the mix, best form however has been on dry tracks.

Rosehill Race 8. RaceTime: AEDT 17:05, 30/01/2016

RACEMAPCellerbrations BM78 1350m
Front Runners (12) Selita, (2) All Cerise.
On Pacers (1) Elle Lou, (3) Lucky News.
Mid Fielders (14) Miss Royale, (11) Cat's Wish, (7) Made To Order.
Get Back (9) Champawi, (8) Shutter Bug, (5) Andsoitswritten, (6) Painted Firetail, (13) Karakuchi, (4) American Time, (10) Trois Choix.
PACE COMMENTS Early frontal pressure here should come from All Cerise and Selita. All Cerise has the drawn well in gate 2 but no surprise to see Selita press on from gate 12 and cross All Cerise in the first 100m of this race. Miss Royale is well in market contention but has to overcome a wide draw out in gate 14. She will probably look to settle mid field but may be caught wide. Other top fancy Painted Fireball is expected to settle rearward and will be hoping for a genuine up front tempo. Not many pace runners engaged here but predicting a genuine tempo, just.
CHANCESCellerbrations BM78 1350mOrderMargin
Elle Lou PLUS: Drops in grade, twiced placed in 5 this track, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1200m.    
Selita PLUS: Won 4 from 8, winner only run this track, won last 4 on end. B 0.5
  MINUS: Drawn wide.    
Painted Firetail PLUS: 1 win 2 placing's from 3 starts, handles wet ground, top rider engaged. C 1
  MINUS: Unknown past 1100m.    
Miss Royale PLUS: 1 win 4 placing's from 5 starts, just beaten by in form Selita last time. D 1.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
All Cerise PLUS: In career best form, well drawn. E 2.5
  MINUS: Up in grade, needs it dry to produce best.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 30 January 2016
Rosehill 6 Ascend Sales Trophies BM85 2000m
Rosehill 7 Expressway Stakes 1200m
Rosehill 8 Cellerbrations BM78 1350m
Rosehill 9 Tab.Com.Au BM85 1100m
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EXOTICS Cellerbrations BM78 1350m
Exacta

A: 2 3 8

B: 1 2 3 8 12

Trifecta

A: 2 3 8

B: 1 2 3 8 12

C: 1 2 3 8 12 13

First Four

A: 2 3 8

B: 1 2 3 8

C: 1 2 3 8 12 13

D: 1 2 3 8 12 13

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