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Rosehill Race 8: More Than Ready @ Vinery BM80 1900m

18/12/2015: Well it would appear that Sebrina didn't enjoy the 300m drop back to 1600m last time out after winning over the 1900m here at Rosehill the start prior. She came off a 21 day freshener for the 1600 and although only 8th of 13 she wasn't too far off the beaten just over 3 lengths. Backs up after 7 days here but sure to find the 1900 much more agreeable than last time. Dance Of Heroes follows exactly the same path and failed to fire when dropped back to 1600m after running 3rd over the 1900 behind Sebrina. Off the same 7 day break and sure to appreciate the extra journey. Has won up to 2012m. Rustic Melody is one at nice odds who should be ready to produce at 4th run in. Has run strong races in elite company up to 2400 and could be the knockout runner here. Kontiki Dane has just been bloused at her last two runs over 2000m and 1900 respectively. No doubt she be somewhere around the mark again here. Rye is a winner his only run this distance and is fro the Waller yard and is yet another who rates in an open race.

Rosehill Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:05, 19/12/2015

RACEMAPMore Than Ready @ Vinery BM80 1900m
Front Runners (13) Kontiki Dane.
On Pacers (1) White Dove, (10) Santa Rocks, (9) Dance Of Heroes.
Mid Fielders (4) Award Season, (5) Sebrina, (6) Diamondsinthenight, (14) Rye.
Get Back (3) Double Bluff, (12) The Rumour File, (2) Rustic Melody, (8) Thermogenic.
PACE COMMENTS Doesn't look a great deal of pace on paper at all. Tipping Kontiki Dane will work across from gate 13 and take up the pacemakers role. There are 3 listed on pace runners but some of these are borderline mid field runners. They may however provide enough pressure to Kontiki Dane to run this along at a reasonable clip. Dance Of Heroes should map well just off the speed, whilst Rustic Melody and Thermogenic will need a genuine pace to optimize their chances. Predicted pace is genuine (just).
CHANCESMore Than Ready @ Vinery BM80 1900mOrderMargin
Sebrina PLUS: Winner only run at track and distance, drops in grade, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Only average last start.    
Dance Of Heroes PLUS: Drops in grade, won up to 2012m, distance increase a plus. B 1
  MINUS: Short backup ?, only 1 win in 7 this track.    
Rustic Melody PLUS: Has run some good races in elite company, distance increase a plus. C 1.25
  MINUS: Only 2 wins to date have been on non- metro tracks.    
Kontiki Dane PLUS: Won 2 placed 5 from 10, narrowly beatenn last two runs at 1900m and 2000m. D 2.75
  MINUS: Drawn wide, up in class.    
Rye PLUS: Winner only run this distance, from the Waller yard. E 3.25
  MINUS: Drawn wide, up in class.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 19 December 2015
Rosehill 6 Cellarbrations BM83 1350m
Rosehill 7 Tab.Com.Au BM76 1350m
Rosehill 8 More Than Ready @ Vinery BM80 1900m
Rosehill 9 McGrath Estate Agents BM85 1200m
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EXOTICS More Than Ready @ Vinery BM80 1900m
Exacta

A: 3 4 7 9

B: 3 4 7 9

Trifecta

A: 3 4 7 9

B: 3 4 7 9 13

C: 3 4 7 9 13

First Four

A: 3 4 7

B: 3 4 7 9 13

C: 3 4 7 9 13

D: 3 4 7 9 13

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