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Rosehill Race 8: Weathertex BM75 1400m

31/07/2015: Queensland galloper Golden Falls looks to have the necessary firepower to take out an event like this. Golden Falls has won 2 and placed 3 times in a 6 run career and a drop back from open company to a BM 75 should enhance the chances of her third career win. This mare produced a fine run from a horror draw last time out and draws much more favourably this time. The one to beat. Moral Victory's two runs prior to last start failure on heavy ground in 85 class would be good enough to warrant serious consideration at this level, however best form has been on drier tracks, so take on trust. Kiwi Eletist has won 3 from 6 and is unbeaten both runs at distance and excels in wet conditions. Drops in grade here but some questions on the strength on N.Z. form line. Dragon Flyer has a good record this distance and goes well on wet ground, certainly rates if can produce best.

Rosehill Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 01/08/2015

RACEMAPWeathertex BM75 1400m
Front Runners (7) Kiwi Eletist, (11) Careless.
On Pacers (9) Moral Victory, (8) Grande Punto.
Mid Fielders (14) Smart Moochi, (15) Vite Loni, (2) Danjeu, (13) Reply Churlish, (1) Dance Of Heroes, (5) Dragon Flyer, (10) Baldovino.
Get Back (5) Berrimilla, (6) Golden Falls, (4) Uppercut, (12) Scratch Me Lucky, (16) Saintly Lad.
PACE COMMENTS The front running role in the last here is expected to come from either Kiwi Eletist or Careless with the former having a slightly better draw. The only other two listed runners with early tactical speed are Moral Victory and Grande Punto which should both settle into good trailing positions behind the leading pair. Race favourite Golden Falls has drawn well but is expected to drop out and settle rearward. Certainly not an over abundance of pace here but looks just enough for a genuine pace rating.
CHANCESWeathertex BM75 1400mOrderMargin
Golden Falls PLUS: Won 2 placed 3 from 6, drops in grade, much better draw this week. A 0
  MINUS: Both wins to date have been either 1st or 2nd up.    
Moral Victory PLUS: Good record at distance, drops in grade. B 1.5
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 9 runs this track.    
Kiwi Eletist PLUS: Won 3 from 6, unbeaten both runs at distance, excels wet ground. C 2.5
  MINUS: Australian debut, weaker form lines in N.Z ?.    
Dragon Flyer PLUS: Good record this distance, goes well wet ground, well drawn. D 3.25
  MINUS: Poor win strike rate with 2 from 20.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 1 August 2015
Rosehill 5 Jockey Celebration Day BM90 1300m
Rosehill 6 The Paslode Winter Challenge 1500m
Rosehill 7 Selleys BM75 1100m
Rosehill 8 Weathertex BM75 1400m
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