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Rosehill Race 9: Apn Outdoor Ajax Stakes 1500m

13/03/2015: Ninth Legion fares much better barrier wise this week after drawing quite wide his last two runs. Ninth Legion drops back from Group 1 class last time out and will be in the firing line for a long way from the inside gate. At Randwick two starts back, when 2nd to Contributor from outside gate, was very good indeed with the likes of Weary and Lucia Valentina finishing adrift of him. Looks a very strong chance in this field. Red Excitement has strong career strike rates was disappointing last time out but races well here and can easily bounce back from good draw. San Diego has been placed at Group 3 level and has generally raced well in elite company over his career. He had a narrow but impressive win in lower grade this track last time and has the ability to step up here. Rudy has a high winning strike rate and has won at Group 2 level has very strong 2nd up record and is expected to be chasing home late in this race.

Rosehill Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 17:30, 14/03/2015

Front Runners (1) Ninth Legion, (8) Aomen.
On Pacers (6) Red Excitement, (2) San Diego.
Mid Fielders (10) Pornichet, (7) Burbero, (3) Spy Decoder.
Get Back (5) Destiny's Kiss, (9) Rudy, (11) Malavio, (4) Slow Pace.
PACE COMMENTS No regular leader in this and it looks perhaps like Ninth Legion and Aomen might test each other early for the lead. Red Excitement and San Diego should get great runs just in behind this pair. Burbero should position up mid field and Rudy who will have admirers will look to come with a sweeping run late from the rear. Looks enough pace on paper even without a regular leader here to ensure a genuine pace.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Ninth Legion PLUS: 3 times placed Group 2 level, has good draw this time after wide last two, drops in grade. A 0
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 9 runs this track.    
Red Excitement PLUS: Good strike rates, races well this track, drawn well. B 1
  MINUS: Disappointing last time, unplaced both runs this distance.    
San Diego PLUS: Winner this track lesser grade last time, has performed well in top class in the past. C 1.5
  MINUS: Rise in class.    
Rudy PLUS: Good winning strike rate, strong 2nd up form, winner Group 2 level. D 1.75
  MINUS: Will be giving most of these a tidy start in the straight.    
RISKY Pornichet (poor run at Sydney debut last time), Malavio (struggles to win at Group level), Burbero (drops 500m in a week).
OUTCLASSED Destiny's Kiss, Aomen, Slow Pace, Spy Decoder.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 14 March 2015
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Rosehill 9 Apn Outdoor Ajax Stakes 1500m
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