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Rosehill Race 9: Blacktown Workers Hawkesbury Guineas 1400m

08/05/2015: In a race that doesn't proffer too many winning chances Federal comes up as top elect. Federal is a winner his only run on heavy ground and is also a winner this distance, although rising in grade is from top stable and should prove hard to beat. Najoom also faces a stiff class jump but is from the Waterhouse yard and is showing plenty of early potential winning 3 and placed twice from 5 runs. Ygritte is hard to follow at times but is proven this level and has been placed both runs on heavy ground. Is definitely a winning chance with her A game. Eisenhower has won 3 from 4 runs and has won on soft ground, also won 2 from 3 at distance and must rate although facing sharp class rise. This race has no known natural leader which could result in a very dawdling pace.

Rosehill Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 15:55, 09/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (6) Martine, (11) Eisenhower, (9) Ygritte, (3) Press Report, (4) Najoom.
Mid Fielders (7) Federal, (5) Final Decision, (10) Makeadane, (8) Zizumba, (2) Anyaas.
Get Back (1) Bachman.
PACE COMMENTS No actual known leaders engaged here and one of the listed on pace runners is most likely to take it up. Which one however is any bodies guess. Najoom the early favourite is one of the on pacers and if she doesn't lead should get a nice run in transit just in behind. Federal will have plenty of admirers but should settle around the mid field mark in this event. The lack of a natural leader here could see the overall tempo of this to run at an only moderate pace.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Federal PLUS: Winner only run on heavy ground, winner this distance. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in grade.    
Najoom PLUS: From top stable, won 3 from 5, placed on heavy ground/ B 1.25
  MINUS: Faces very steep rise in class.    
Ygritte PLUS: Proven this level, placed both runs heavy ground. C 2.75
  MINUS: Beaten all 5 runs this track.    
Eisenhower PLUS: Won 3 from 4 runs, winner on soft ground, won 2 from 3 at distance. D 4
  MINUS: Big class rise, drawn a little wide.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Press Report (unplaced both runs on heavy), Anyaas (unplaced all 3 wet runs).
OUTCLASSED Bachman, Final Decision, Makeadane, Zizumba, Martine.
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 9 May 2015
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