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Rosehill Race 9: TAB Birthday Card Stakes 1200m

18/03/2016: Sultry Feeling was a last start winner at this level at Randwick and both placegetters from that race in Peeping and Savoureux have franked that form by winning since. That win was 1st up and this mare has won 2nd up in the past, has to overcome an awkward draw out in 14 but races well this track and rates very highly in this. Pittsburgh Flyer produced an eye-catching performance when charging home late to be 4th in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate at Caulfield last time out only 1 length adrift of the winner. That run was fresh after a spell and this mare races well 2nd up, drops in grade here and if can reproduce last effort will be a serious threat in this. Brook Road has been placed this level and just failed to nab the winner when produced 1st up from spell last time at this track, goes well 2nd up and has got good form this distance. Needs to produce best to win this and if can she can produce at that level will be right in the thick of things. Perignon is from the astute Gerald Ryan stable and drops back from a last start Group 2 victory at Randwick over this distance. This run here is 2nd up and has won when produced similarly in the past. Flashing Speed has won 2 of only 3 starts and led and held on quite well this level when last start 3rd behind Savoureux. Has to overcome horror draw but will race up on the speed and should give backers another strong account.

Rosehill Race 9. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:50, 19/03/2016

RACEMAPTAB Birthday Card Stakes 1200m
Front Runners (13) Two Blue, (17) Flashing Speed.
On Pacers (9) Vezelay, (1) Lake Geneva, (5) Lucky Can Be.
Mid Fielders (19) Pittsburgh Flyer,(14) Sultry Feeling, (18) Savoureux, (7) Perignon, (15) Onmorezeta, (3) Something Secret, (11) Look To The Stars.
Get Back (16) Hieroglyphics, (6) Tender, (12) Noela's Choice, (2) Cradle Me, (8) Griante, (4) Bring Me The Maid, (10) Brook Road.
PACE COMMENTS Both designated leaders here in Two Blue and Flashing Speed are drawn wide, so a brisk first sectional is anticipated as they drive hard early to take up their normal adopted in-running positions. Flashing Speed is one of 5 runners here that are in single figures in early markets and is the only one expected to race forward. Sultry Feeling, Griante, Brook Road and Perignon are the other 4 in single figures are all expected to be mid field or worse in the run. Pace expectancy here is genuine.
CHANCESTAB Birthday Card Stakes 1200mOrderMargin
Sultry Feeling PLUS: Both placegetters behind her last win have won since, has won 2nd up, goes well this track. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn wide.    
Pittsburgh Flyer PLUS: Eye-catching run in Grp 1 last time, goes well 2nd up. B 0.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
Brook Road PLUS: Winner this track, goes well this distance, good strike rates. C 1
  MINUS: Up in class.    
Perignon PLUS: Drops in grade, good form this distance, well drawn, has won 2nd up. D 1.75
  MINUS: Hasn't raced for 34 days.    
Flashing Speed PLUS: Won 2 from 3 starts, led and held on well this class last time. E 2.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
Quadrella Race# Rosehill 19 March 2016
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Rosehill 9 TAB Birthday Card Stakes 1200m
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EXOTICS TAB Birthday Card Stakes 1200m
Exacta

A: 3 5 8 10

B: 3 5 8 10

Trifecta

A: 3 8 10

B: 3 5 8 10 12

C: 3 5 8 10 12

First Four

A: 3 8 10

B: 3 5 8 10

C: 2 3 5 8 10 12

D: 2 3 5 8 10 12

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