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Sandown Race 6: Mypunter Eclipse Stakes 1800m

13/11/2015: A deeper study of Worthy Cause's runs indicates he is more a handicapper than a wfa, or set weights type of horse, and perhaps the tighter Victorian Caulfield and Moonee Valley tracks could be a factor as well. He did beat Turn Me Loose at Flemington's bigger track and that horse is now a Group 1 winner. Tristram's Sun didn't beat any particular classy horses at Kyneton but his win was strong and his obvious liking for this track decrees he must be in the mix. He flopped in this race last year but was immediately spelled so forgive the run. Digitalism is a strange horse in that he seems to really fire at longer distances off 35 and 36 day breaks and here he is off 34! Why not again? Cadillac Mountain is one of two speckies of the race because he has won first up and that terrific second to Pheidon in the Alister Clark Stakes second up keeps saying 'expect a good run at odds while fresh'. My second speckie is Calvin Williams who has been caught in the wrong parts of the track recently plus being caught wide and having tough distances to overcome first and second up. His barrier will take the pressure off and I am expecting improvement. I may bite the dust but I have to take on Malice based on just beating Garud home last start and some indifferent performances. He is one of those "whenever" horses and I cannot stand them.

Sandown Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 16:00, 14/11/2015

RACEMAPMypunter Eclipse Stakes 1800m
Front Runners (3) Slate On Edge, (9) Jacquinot Bay.
On Pacers (1) Worthy Cause, (2) Digitalism, (10) Plot The Cours, (11) Garud, (14) Tristram's Sun.
Mid Fielders (5) Cadillac Mountain, (6) Malice, (8) Desrt Jeuney, (12) Rudy, (13) Casino Dancer, (15) Lord Atheneum, (17) Durnford, (18) Assign.
Get Back (4) Calvin Williams, (7) Scream Machine, (16) Puccini.
PACE COMMENTS It is a $1.05 chance that either Slate On Edge or Jacquinot Bay will lead as that is mostly all they know - to jump and run. Once the lead is decided it is up to the on pacers to go about marking their territory with those drawn best (Worthy Cause and Digitalism) hunting up to take advantage. The pace will be of some concern to mid fielders like Malice, Casino Dancer and Lord Atheneum so be careful not to over rate their chances.
CHANCESMypunter Eclipse Stakes 1800mOrderMargin
Worthy Cause PLUS: Barrier Trial winner 5 days ago, handles all track conditions, one start one win at distance, great draw. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Tristram's Sun PLUS: Track lover with three wins from five starts, four good track wins, twice winner at longer distance. B 0.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Digitalism PLUS: Last two wins off let ups, track winner, distance no issue at all. C 1
  MINUS: Nil.    
Cadillac Mountain PLUS: Second up 2040m second in Alistair Stakes, great first up run, distance most suitable as is long straight. D 1.25
  MINUS: Perhaps another run.    
Calvin Williams PLUS: DK Weir improver, distance and track conditions no problems, far better barrier draw than all Oz runs. E 1.75
  MINUS: Third up this distance, may still need another run at this level.    
Quadrella Race# Sandown 14 November 2015
Sandown 6 Mypunter Eclipse Stakes 1800m
Sandown 7 William Hill Sandown Guineas 1600m
Sandown 8 William Hill Sandown Cup 3200m
Sandown 9 Le Pine Funerals Summoned Stakes 1500m
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