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Sandown Race 7: City Of Greater Dandenong Stakes 1000m

4/12/2015: It's rare for me to select a serious back marker in the A position, such as Reldas, much less my BC selections coming from back markers as well but with the expected hot pace I am expecting Reldas, Grane and Danger Close, to a lesser extent, to be burnt off early but sprint over the top of the field. It is simply an issue of who gets the right run at the right time as to which of my trio will finish best. If you forget about sex and the fact she is getting a bit long in the tooth Pretty Possum is huge odds at $41 and $10 the place after having form around Grane, especially. Tuscan Sling's run on a heavy track may have flattened her hence the 30 day spell and the break and getting back to a preferred good track suggests she is a player in this race. Again I am taking on Wild Rain because of the dry track and I have a doubt about the sometimes tough Sandown uphill straight causing issues in the last 50 metres.

Sandown Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:05, 05/12/2015

RACEMAPCity Of Greater Dandenong Stakes 1000m
Front Runners (5) Pretty Possum, (6) Wild Rain, (10) Diamond Oasis.
On Pacers (1) Tuscan Sling, (8) Vatican.
Mid Fielders (3) Audino, (4) Pago Rock, (7) Danger Close, (11) Tried And Tired, (12) Beau Rada, (13) Office Bearer, (15) Grane.
Get Back (2) Reldas, (9) Down The Hatch.
PACE COMMENTS Wild Rain and Pretty Possum are likely to go forward and use their good barriers to advantage which means Diamond Oasis and Java from their wider barriers will need to either go forward or ease back a fraction. Tuscan Sling is drawn the fence and he can lead if he jumps so there is added pace on that front and on his day Vatican is no slouch early. Don’t worry about pace being an issue: it will be all about ability.
CHANCESCity Of Greater Dandenong Stakes 1000mOrderMargin
Reldas PLUS:Two wins from three track runs, five good track wins, hot early pace suits, 28 days planned spell. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Grane PLUS: Three distance wins, six good track wins, both track failures very forgivable. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Danger Close PLUS: Track and distance specialist with three wins from three starts, six good track wins. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Tuscan Sling PLUS: Four wins from six distance runs, three wins from six good track starts, lightly raced improver. D 1.5
  MINUS: 30 days break off heavy track run possibly flattened(?), mare versus males.    
Pretty Possum PLUS: Seven good track wins, has Grane, Celeritas and Tuscan Sling form, huge odds, can lead. E 1.75
  MINUS: Mare versus males, 44 race starts so ending career.    
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EXOTICS City Of Greater Dandenong Stakes 1000m
Exacta

A: 3 5

B: 3 5 10 11 12

Trifecta

A: 3 5 10 12

B: 3 5 10 12

C: 2 3 4 5 10 12

First Four

A: 3 5 10 12

B: 3 5 10 12

C: 2 3 4 5 10 12

D: 2 3 4 5 10 12

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