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Sandown Race 8: Sportingbet Quick Multis Handicap BM84 1000m

06/02/2015: I have O’malley on top simply due to his massive first up run when he was big odds to win early in the race he was that far back yet he stormed around the field with a hint of arrogance. The hot early pace in this race suits him as does the long, uphill Sandown straight. Antarctic Missile has a really helpful 3.5kg drop in weights to help her beat the boys. She could have won last start carrying another 2kg she won that easily so weight experts may well consider this a 5.5kg drop. Trevinder has been wide all the way at his two runs this time in and you cannot do that at the tight, turning Moonee Valley track over 1000m: it’s just too hard. However, at Sandown with one turn only life becomes easier even if he is caught wide on the home turn. Runway Star has Coolring form (been killing them in Sydney recently) four runs back from last preparation and there were excuses (too fast early, heavy track, spell) after the run. With a stable change who knows but the ability is there and his 73 rating will rise soon. Single Day beat subsequent city winner Elle Excite home two runs ago and the win last start was earned as he was in trouble securing a run for some time in the straight. No surprise to see him prove this campaign, either. My ABC selections stand out at this level but after that trio it becomes tough. Place chances for the exotics for General Jackson, Taddei Tondo, Grane and Neat Feat: just the three for the quaddie.

Sandown Race 8. RaceTime: AEDT 17:50, 07/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (1) Lateva, (4) Neat Feat, (9) Ventic, (13) Antarctic Missile.
On Pacers (1) Zedi Knight, (2) Kuaima, (6) Grane, (12) Runway Star.
Mid Fielders (3) O'malley, (8) Trevinder, (10) Single Days.
Get Back (5) Taddei Tondo, (14) General Jackson.
PACE COMMENTS Plenty of early speed creates a race where it’s the fittest front runners that keep going and the back markers get their chance to power over the weakening front runners. This is such a race, as you would expect from a 1000m event. Two of the main chances O'malley and Trevinder are likely to be mid field early but I wouldn’t be worrying too much as they will get their chance.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
O'malley PLUS: Huge first up win, four from seven career, four from five distance, two from four good. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Antarctic Missile PLUS: Brilliant first up win, lightly raced improver, drops 3.5kg helpful against males. B 0.75
  MINUS: Mare versus males.    
Trevinder PLUS: Wide all way both runs this preparation both good tracks and this distance, three from seven good. C 1
  MINUS: Gets back, two from nine distance.    
Single Days PLUS: Held up last run good win, two from five career, beat Elle Excite two runs ago, scratched mid week. D 1.75
  MINUS: Class rise at weights?    
Runway Star PLUS: Stable change from G Ryan, two from five good, first up winner, on pacer. E 2.25
  MINUS: No wins this distance minimal concern.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Zedi Knight (10yo first up) Ventic (not winning races).
OUTCLASSED Kumaia, Lateva.
Quadrella Race# Sandown 7 February 2015
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