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Sandown Race 8: William Hill Sandown Cup 3200m

13/11/2015: This is the easiest race on the program to discuss because there are just five strong form chances for the A position and one speckie at odds. It's best to forget the Melbourne Cup form figures around The Offer (wide most of the way), Almoonqith (pushed back and forced wide) and Grand Marshal, who received a Muhammed Ali knockout punch in the straight. Maygrove finished a length behind The Offer in the Bendigo Cup so there won't be much difference between the duo. De Little Engine is the new kid on the block at this level and considering his Flemington 2800m win in the J B Cummings Tribute was just his fourth run this preparation he figures strongly. My selections are simply based around the fresh runners who didn't race in the Melbourne Cup and past my quinella horses De Little Engine and Maygrove it's a toss up. I do, however, expect Renew to run a better race as he has been caught wide so often this campaign and the runs haven't been all that bad. Just forget his form figures.

Sandown Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 17:20, 14/11/2015

RACEMAPWilliam Hill Sandown Cup 3200m
Front Runners (13) Tremec.
On Pacers (10) Pop 'N' Scotch.
Mid Fielders (2) Grand Marshal, (5) Manalapan, (7) Maygrove, (9) The Offer, (11) Planet Purple, (14) Almoonqith, (15) Renew.
Get Back (1) Refectory, (3) Precedence, (4) Sasenkile, (6) Like A Carousel, (8) Cuban Fighter, (12) De Little Engine.
PACE COMMENTS Tremec will lead and Pop 'N' Scotch will trail. Normally you would be worried to just have one leader and one on pacer but let's be realistic: a win by either would be a surprise. The race comes down to which horse will sprint the best when it counts and that then becomes a jockey initiative issue. On that scenario just forget about pace in this race: it's impossible to suggest the pace will bring the downfall of any runner in this race pre-race however post race there might be whinges.
CHANCESWilliam Hill Sandown Cup 3200mOrderMargin
De Little Engine PLUS: Fresh horse, strong last start win, two wins from three runs at the track, distance is not an issue. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Maygrove PLUS: Murray Baker trained huge plus, not far off Divan in the Bendigo Cup. B 0.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Almoonqith PLUS: Easy Geelong Cup winner defeating subsequent winner Dandino, five good track wins. C 1
  MINUS: Some years Melbourne Cup runs zaps energy levels for this race.    
The Offer PLUS: Defeated Divan and Maygrove in Bendigo Cup, handles dry tracks and is not just a wet tracker. D 1.25
  MINUS: Some years Melbourne Cup runs zaps energy levels for this race.    
Grand Marshal PLUS: Distance winner in Sydney Cup, C Waller trained, poleaxed in Melbourne Cup. E 1.5
  MINUS: In some years the Melbourne Cup runs zaps energy for this race.    
Renew PLUS: Last years winner, been wide most runs this campaign in forgivable runs. F 2.25
  MINUS: Will have to work to beat De Little Engine.    
Quadrella Race# Sandown 14 November 2015
Sandown 6 Mypunter Eclipse Stakes 1800m
Sandown 7 William Hill Sandown Guineas 1600m
Sandown 8 William Hill Sandown Cup 3200m
Sandown 9 Le Pine Funerals Summoned Stakes 1500m
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