Today's Big Bets 0
Amount Bet Today $0
Most Bet Today

Sandown Race 9: Ladbrokes Odds Boost Handicap 1600m

08/04/2016: All the statistics and breeding strongly suggests Nevis is the hardest horse to beat in this field. He's lightly raced and I suspect there is quite a bit of overall improvement to come as he races at longer distances. He will receive a ripper of a run off the pace and looks terrific value at his current odds of $5.50. I would have thought closer to $4 was more like it. Although Survived's New Zealand form had dropped off overall (he did run a close fourth at wfa in a Group 2 race five runs ago) perhaps the change of stable and the Ballarat climate will rejuvenate him. Three weeks ago he finished behind Big Memory, who ran a close second in last week's Mornington Cup and that's good enough form to be considered a strong chance here. Kenjorwood really improves after a couple of belt tighteners and if he is able to be rated more conservatively than in the Group 2 Blamey Stakes his The United States form line (winner of the Group 1 Ranvet Stakes at his next start) can easily kick in for a victory. Kourkam is quite a first up specialist with three wins first up. Two of the wins were at this distance and a weak maiden at 1800m not to mention a 0.2 defeat at his first race start at Longchamp, France over this distance when finishing third on a soft track. Why wouldn't you slot him on those credentials? Hollywood Bound was most unlucky behind Ungrateful Ellen and should have finished much closer to Gingerboy, the runner up (he runs in Adelaide tomorrow). The prospect of a damp track increases his chances for victory. No, I didn't miss Hijack Hussy: I just haven't found her form strong enough against the males. I am staggered to see her at $4.

Sandown Race 9. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 17:30, 09/04/2016

RACEMAPLadbrokes Odds Boost Handicap 1600m
Front Runners (6) Nevis, (13) Kenjorwood.
On Pacers (4) Genuine Lad, (5) Survived, (9) Guest Of Honour.
Mid Fielders (1) Hollywood Bound, (3) Zabisco, (7) Doumaran, (8) Hijack Hussy, (12) Black Tomahawk, (15) Atlantis Dream, (16) Tristram's Sun.
Get Back (2) De Little Engine, (10) Kourkam, (11) Sertorius, (14) Desert Jeuney, (17) Petrology, (18) Bunchloch,(19) Good Value, (20) Backbone.
PACE COMMENTS Kenjorwood is the most likely runner of my two front runners to lead but Nevis displayed strong fighting qualities when he led last start so who knows? Of the on pacers Survived is the best chance sitting just off the leaders. All told I am of the belief the pace will better than average so don’t be afraid to include the mid fielders with a chance for the A position and be a tad more selective with the back markers.
CHANCESLadbrokes Odds Boost Handicap 1600mOrderMargin
Nevis PLUS: Three distance wins from four runs, two wins from four in the wet, gets great run off pace. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Kenjorwood PLUS: Easier here than Group runs, improves third up and deeper, likely leader, distance and track conditions suitable. B 0.5
  MINUS: If fires up too much in the lead.    
Survived PLUS: Distance and any soft track conditions suits, can sit on pace. C 1
  MINUS: Nil.    
Kourkam PLUS: First up specialist this distance, distance and possible soft track no issue, 2kg claim helps. D 1.5
  MINUS: Lacks early pace so will way back on home turn.    
Hollywood Bound PLUS: Unlucky last start, distance suits as has four wins to his credit, if track is wet give a bonus. E 2
  MINUS: Might be shuffled back a fair way early from inside barrier thus needing luck late in race.    
Quadrella Race# Sandown 9 April 2016
Sandown 6 Galilee Series Final 2400m
Sandown 7 Ladbrokes Infohub Handicap 1000m
Sandown 8 Ladbrokes Cash In Handicap 1600m
Sandown 9 Ladbrokes Odds Boost Handicap 1600m
Go to Quaddie Picker
EXOTICS Ladbrokes Odds Boost Handicap 1600m
Exacta

A: 9 14

B: 1 9 10 13 14 19

Trifecta

A: 9 14

B: 1 9 10 13 14 19

C: 1 9 10 13 14 17 19

First Four

A: 9 14

B: 1 9 10 13 14 19

C: 1 9 10 13 14 17 19

D: 1 9 10 13 14 17 19

Go to Exotics Picker
UP TO $500 IN BONUS BETS FOR NEW ACT, QLD, TAS AND NT CUSTOMERS!