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Sandown Race 9: Ryan Branighan Handicap BM78 1400m

06/02/2015: Oh boy, what a conundrum. I have to be honest I am guessing to a major extent about the factors of this race. I have landed on Spiritof Endeavour because of the main chances he is going to be closest to the lead and the trainer goes into this race with the win of River’s Lane last week on his CV. Sometime stables have hot runs and maybe, and it’s a big maybe, the form will continue. King Of Manners is actually the form horse if you forgive his last two runs (wide all the way both starts) going through his run three runs ago around The Bowler and the Search Squad form line, too. The problem is he gets so far back. Final Jest had a 34 day break before his solid enough run last start and the fact the trainers daughter (I assume daughter) is riding is a strong hint the stable expect a good run not to mention the long trip from Jerilderie. Stereosonic has form around Gracious Prospect and Live For Today which also leads us to Live For Today. His biggest issue is a dry track but on his last run he cannot be dismissed too lightly. The only horse I think cannot win is Kwanza which reads as a field job in the quaddie.

Sandown Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 18:25, 07/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners None
On Pacers (8) Stereosonic, (11) Spiritof Endeavour.
Mid Fielders (4) Reddamour, (5) Live For Today, (7) Himalya Dream, (9) King Of Manners, (14) Swift Shadow.
Get Back (1) Murcilaga, (2) Kwanza, (6) FinalJest, (8) Cross Of Gold, (12) Winta Chiller, (13) Kerthos.
PACE COMMENTS Here we go again. Another race where I have no clear cut front runners and my on pacers become the front runners by default. I guess mathematically it’s just a matter of shifting the goal posts but with some horses likely to be out of their comfort zones it’s probably not that simple. All I can do is suggest the default front runners have an advantage: how much of an advantage is debatable in this race.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Spiritof Endeavour PLUS: Two from six distance, races well fresh, SA trainer big winner last week with Rivers Lane. A 0
  MINUS: Twenty eight day break, scratched recently, one from five distance, leader?    
King Of Manners PLUS: Wide all way last two runs, The Bowler formline three runs back. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Final Jest PLUS: Three from nine distance, two from three second up, 3kg claim for trainers daughter. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Stereosonic PLUS: Form line around Gracious Prospect, three wins from four first up runs. D 0.75
  MINUS: Twenty eight day break, scratched recently, one from five distance.    
Live For Today PLUS: Unlucky last run, Two wins seven distance runs. E 1
  MINUS: Three wins seven runs soft tracks zero wins dry tracks.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Kwanza.
Quadrella Race# Sandown 7 February 2015
Sandown 6 Sportingbet Protest Pay Up Handicap 1400m
Sandown 7 William Hill Plate 1300m
Sandown 8 Sportingbet Quick Multis Handicap BM84 1000m
Sandown 9 Ryan Branighan Handicap BM78 1400m
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