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Scone Race 7: Inglis 3yo Guineas 1400m

15/05/2015: This is not a great race. The only runner with any form consistency is Sure and Fast but that runner has some obstacles to overcome. Were going to tip Tahni Dance as top selection hoping she can recapture the form of last preparation where she more than held her own against elite company with both a Group 2 and Group 3 placing. That form line would easily win a race like this, but has to be taken on trust. Sure And Fast has won 4 from 11 and was a good winner on heavy ground last time out at Randwick. The question is can he repeat that effort against these on top of the ground, but is showing plenty of potential. Ygritte is proven this grade but wins have been hard to come by in career so far with only 2 from 12 runs. Is a definite threat however on best form. Boomwaa is another who has displayed plenty of potential but has an even worse strike rate with 2 win s in 18 runs. Nayeli, Heavens Above and Botany Bay rate place chances.

Scone Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 15:50, 16/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (4) Boomwaa.
On Pacers (9) Nayeli, (7) Ygritte, (8) Theycallmethehoff, (13) Pyramid Prince.
Mid Fielders (14) Conarchie, (11) Sure And Fast, (15) Music Man, (16) Charlie Who, (1) Embley, (2) Botany Bay, (5) Bulletproof Monk.
Get Back (3) Heavens Above, (10) Tahni Dancer, (12) Loved Up.
PACE COMMENTS Boomwaa has a ton of early pace and has the draw here to lead these comfortably. There is a host of on pace runners so a good early tempo is expected. Race favourite Sure And Fast has drawn awkwardly in gate 11 and may be caught wide in a mid field position. Ygritte on the other hand has drawn well and should settle in well just off the lead. Loved Up and Tahni Dancer will have admirers but are both expected to settle well back, however the expected strong overall tempo should not see them disadvantaged.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Tahni Dancer PLUS: Placed Group 2 and 3 level, drops in grade, has performed in much stronger company than this. A 0
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 11 runs.    
Sure And Fast PLUS: Has won 4 from11, winner this distance, good winner Randwick last time. B 0.75
  MINUS: Best form has been on wet ground.    
Ygritte PLUS: Proven this class, has top rider engaged, from top stable, winner Gosford Guineas 2 runs back. C 1.75
  MINUS: Beaten both runs this distance.    
Boomwaa PLUS: Drawn to get easy lead, red hot Blake Sinn aboard, placed at distance. D 3
  MINUS: Only 2 wins in 18 runs.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Loved Up (struggles at city class).
OUTCLASSED Bulletproof Monk, Kanguru, Theycallmethehoff, Music Man, Pyramid Prince, Conarchi, Carlie Who, Embley.
Quadrella Race# Scone 16 May 2015
Scone 5 Yarraman Park Luskin Star Stakes 1300m
Scone 6 Darley Dark Jewel Classic 1400m
Scone 7 Inglis 3yo Guineas 1400m
Scone 8 Arrowfield Ortensia Stakes 1100m
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