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Scone Race 8: Arrowfield Ortensia Stakes 1100m

15/05/2015: A pretty tough race to close out the day with a host of chances. Atmospherical is a winner his only run at track and distance and can easily return to winning form here. Has strong record over this distance and drops in grade. Is a recent trial winner and rates highly. Private Secretary has won 6 placed 3 from 10 runs and is unbeaten in all 3 runs this distance. Rises in grade but showing great potential. Target In Sight is another who is unbeaten in 2 runs this distance and drops in grade for this. Has drawn well with top rider and has impressive strike rate. Shamalia is a Group 3 winner who has won 5 from 12. Has good form this distance and looks right in the mix on best form. That's A Good Idea has been placed all 3 runs this distance and is from a top stable, a recent trial winner who has won 1st up in the past. Both Thump and Cradle Me rate place chances.

Scone Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:30, 16/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (10) Zaratone.
On Pacers (17) That's A Good Idea, (3) Thump, (12) Belannoro, (6) Pajero, (19) Texan Lad, (11) Speedy Squib.
Mid Fielders (18) Dothraki, (16) Hidden Warrior, (15) Straight Gold, (13) Atmospherical, (4) The Monstar, (7) Decision Time.
Get Back (14) Fare Well, (20) Just Crewsin', (8) Shamalia, (5) Cradle Me, (2) Target In Sight, (9) Private Secretary, (1) Wouldn't It Be Nice.
PACE COMMENTS Looks a heap of pace on paper here and Zaratone looks to be quickest early of that brigade and is expected to lead these up. Most of the runners here in single market figures are all get back types but should be suited by the expected strong tempo. Of the on pace brigade That's A Good Idea is the shortest in the market but has fared poorly at the barriers drawing right off the track. The pace here is assessed as good to fast.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Atmospherical PLUS: Has strong record this distance, winner only this track and distance, recent trial winner. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn a bit wide.    
Private Secretary PLUS: Won 6 placed 3 from 10, return to firmer ground a plus, unbeaten all 3 runs this distance. B 1
  MINUS: Rises in grade.    
Target In Sight PLUS: Unbeaten both runs this distance, drops in grade, well drawn. C 1.5
  MINUS: Can get a long way back in his races.    
Shamalia PLUS: Won 5 from 12, drops in grade, winner Group 3 level. D 1.75
  MINUS: Very poor when beat only 1 home last time.    
That's A Good Idea PLUS: From top stable, placed all 3 runs at distance, drops in grade. E 2.25
  MINUS: Very poor when never beat a runner home last time.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Dothraki (beaten all 4 first up runs).
OUTCLASSED Decision Time, Zaratone, Straight Gold, Wouldn't It Be Nice, Hidden Warrior, Belannoro, Pajero, The Monstar, Fare Well, Texan Lad, Just Crewsin', Speedy Squib.
Quadrella Race# Scone 16 May 2015
Scone 5 Yarraman Park Luskin Star Stakes 1300m
Scone 6 Darley Dark Jewel Classic 1400m
Scone 7 Inglis 3yo Guineas 1400m
Scone 8 Arrowfield Ortensia Stakes 1100m
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