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Sunshine Coast Race 6: Caloundra Cup 2400m

15/05/2015: If the track is good I expect Index Linked to overcome the pedestrian early pace and win simply because he stars on good tracks with ten wins under those conditions. We need to consider some of his 21 good track runs were at unsuitable distance and in the Mornington Cup he was set a huge task. Volkhere is my bet if the track is wet as his run to Pornichet, the subsequent winner of the wfa Doomben Cup, was strong enough for this without doubt. Tremec is better in wet conditions but certainly has the ability to win this race on a dry track. What can we do with Sir John Hawkwood? He beat subsequent winner of the Pakenham Cup Tooleybuc Kid fairly easily four runs ago but since then he has had two forgivable runs (slowly away, heavy track second to Tremec) and a poor last start considering the run he had. Sir John Blackwood and Escado are obvious place chances and you can add Perplexity, Freton and Supercoach on their Toowoomba Cup runs but realistically if my main chances run to their best form they will be squeezed out of the placings.

Sunshine Coast Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:22, 16/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (6) Perplexity, (11) Volkhere.
On Pacers (1) Kobi Creek, (2) Tremec.
Mid Fielders (4) Index Linked, (5) Wimpole Street, (9) Ongoing Venture, (10) Freton, (12) Wimpole Street.
Get Back (3) Luckzat, (7) Escado, (8) Sir John Hawkwood.
PACE COMMENTS I don’t see a terrific amount of pace in this race as Volkierre and Perplexity go to the lead followed by Tremec and Kobi Creek. From there the front runners will drop anchor thus making it very difficult for Sir John Hawkwood and Escado and to a lesser extent Index Linked.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Index Linked PLUS: Ten good track wins twenty one runs, C Waller D Browne strong combination. A 0
  MINUS: Early pace slight issue.    
Tremec PLUS: Distance no issue with two wins longer distances, four wins good tracks, gets good run on pace. B 0.25
  MINUS: Six wins thirteen runs wet tracks.    
Volkhere PLUS: Huge Pornichet run last start. C 1.25
  MINUS: Distance query last two hundred metres, five winners twelve wet track runs.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Ongoing Venture, Luckzat, Wimpole Street, Kobi Creek.
Quadrella Race# Sunshine Coast 16 May 2015
Sunshine Coast 5 Sunshine Coast Guineas 1600m
Sunshine Coast 6 Caloundra Cup 2400m
Sunshine Coast 7 Glasshouse Handicap 1300m
Sunshine Coast 8 Yalumba Wines Bribie Handicap 1000m
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