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Sunshine Coast Race 7: Glasshouse Handicap 1300m

15/05/2015: Boy, this is a tricky number. On the Group 2 Srikandi run last start Dances On Stars goes on top as the class drop is going to be helpful to start with but with a wide barrier and 58kg his job is fraught with difficulty. Mount Nebo ended up near the rail last start on a day where the going out wide was considered better so that run is forgivable. Where we have problems with this horse is his one win from eighteen good track runs and his five wins from thirteen runs on wet ground. Enquare is a mare versus males first up and she hasn’t won for several runs. Time For War fought on courageously from a wide barrier first up to Nostradamus and if connections want him forward early he will again need to work from a wide barrier. He is classy enough though as evidenced by his 2.2 length defeat to Almalad in the Group 1 JJ Atkins (Brazen Beau was second) and a two length second to last weeks winner Kuro. Allez Eagle is the unknown factor but any horse that has won seven from fourteen and has beaten by 2 lengths in an open Group 1 handicap has to be a chance in this race. Place chances to Phelan Ready, Kempelly, Typhoon Red, Choice Bro, Pillar Of Creation, Black Jet, Black Cash and You Did What. Sorry, it’s one of THOSE races where the field is a great option in the quadrella.

Sunshine Coast Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 16:02, 16/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (6) Black Jet, (10) Black Cash.
On Pacers (2) Pillar Of Creation, (3) Enquare, (7) Mount Nebo, (8) Allez Eagle, (14) Time For War, (15) Abu Ben Adam.
Mid Fielders (1) Riva De Lago, (9) Typhoon Red, (11) Grayson Square, (12) Kempelly, (17) Dances On Stars.
Get Back (4) Not Too Sure, (5) You Did What, (13) Choice Bro, (16) Phelan Ready.
PACE COMMENTS This is a tricky race map wise as most of the front runners and on pacers don't always begin perfectly therefore my race map construction has an element of poetic licence about it. Just the same with a total of eight horses listed as going forward the pace should be solid enough: it’s just that I am not totally sure of which horses will jump as expected.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Time For War PLUS: Group efforts good, one from one distance, races well fresh fitter for first up run. A 0
  MINUS: Wide barrier.    
Allez Eagle PLUS: Seven from fourteen career, four from eight good tracks. B 0.5
  MINUS: New Zealand form lines versus Oz.    
Dances On Stars PLUS: Srikandi run strong, two from eight distance. C 1.25
  MINUS: Wide barrier with 58kg, three from twenty good tracks not impressive, gets back.    
Enquare PLUS: Two from five first up, five from sixteen career. D 1.75
  MINUS: Mares versus males first up, not won for several runs.    
Mount Nebo PLUS: For won two from three this campaign.give last run. E 2.25
  MINUS: One win eighteen good tracks, five from thirteen wet tracks.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Riva De Lago (one from eight first up).
OUTCLASSED Abu Ben Adam, Not Too Sure.
Quadrella Race# Sunshine Coast 16 May 2015
Sunshine Coast 5 Sunshine Coast Guineas 1600m
Sunshine Coast 6 Caloundra Cup 2400m
Sunshine Coast 7 Glasshouse Handicap 1300m
Sunshine Coast 8 Yalumba Wines Bribie Handicap 1000m
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