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Sunshine Coast Race 8: Yalumba Wines Bribie Handicap 1000m

15/05/2015: Wow, don’t blink twice as you will miss the race. I am having a throw at the stumps with Rocky King. He is a track and distance specialist and has won twelve races at the distance. I wouldn’t be surprised if he kicked through and fought for the lead but I would be happier if he camped off the pace. If so I will be a happy chappy halfway through the race. Diamond Oasis has that touch of class with runs around Platelet and Gregers but the wide barrier will force him to work early. Falino has zero from seven second up but three runs ago won second up off a break of twenty eight days which has me giving him a chance in this off a hectic pace. His first up Weetwood run on a soft 6 (he’s not really a wet tracker) was strong and if the track is dry today he will improve. Seeking More was just beaten by Craftiness two runs ago, admittedly on a soft 7, but any form around Craftiness is fairly good form. Craiglea Cruz was sent to Sydney last start and kept fighting all the way and considering he could lead from barrier two and his track and distance form is good he can win this. Facile Tigre is unbeaten at the track and distance and has won three times first up. He’s no slouch at this level. Place chances to Mr Favulous, Time To Plunder, Office Bearer, Flying Riddel, Saturn Rock, True Royal and Heza Bobbydazzler. Go as wide as you can afford in the quadrella as this is a race begging for victory by a roughie.

Sunshine Coast Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:37, 16/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (2) Craiglea Cruz, (6) Mr Favulous, (10) The Conspirator.
On Pacers (1) Rocky King, (3) Heza Bobby Dazzler, (4) Facile Tigre, (11) True Royal, (15) Diamond Oasis, (16) The Storeman, (17) Whittington, (18) Seeking More.
Mid Fielders (7) Falino, (8) Time To Plunder, (14) Flying Riddle, (19) Remagen Bridge.
Get Back (5) Saturn Rock, (9) Thinkesaurus, (12) Office Bearer.
PACE COMMENTS They will be flying early with my three front runners zooming along and I can see Rocky King and Heza Dazzler booting through too if they jump cleanly. Pace is not an issue in this race! I am worried about Diamond Oasis as he is going to have to produce a huge run with all the speed his inside.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Rocky King PLUS: Four from five track and distance, twelve distance wins, can lead. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Facile Tigre PLUS: Two from two track and distance, three from four track. B 0.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Falino PLUS: Two from four distance, one from one track and distance, seven good track wins. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Diamond Oasis PLUS: Platelet Gregers formline, five from eight distance, five dry track wins. D 1.25
  MINUS: Wide barrier against inside pace runners caught wide?    
Seeking More PLUS: Five good track wins, four from fourteen distance, two from four first up. E 1.5
  MINUS: Wide barrier off 35 days.    
Craiglea Cruz PLUS: Five good track wins, four from four placed track and distance, can lead. F 1.75
  MINUS: No claim for apprentice.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY The Storeman and Whittington (both struggling), The Conspirator (Toowoomba form better), Thinkhesaurus (better at Dalby, Toowoomba), Remagen Bridge (thereabouts but is class query).
OUTCLASSED Nil.
Quadrella Race# Sunshine Coast 16 May 2015
Sunshine Coast 5 Sunshine Coast Guineas 1600m
Sunshine Coast 6 Caloundra Cup 2400m
Sunshine Coast 7 Glasshouse Handicap 1300m
Sunshine Coast 8 Yalumba Wines Bribie Handicap 1000m
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