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Warwick Farm Race 5: Liverpool City Cup 1300m

27/02/2015: Red Excitement is a galloper with winning ways and we expect that trend to carry on in this. Red Excitement has a great winning strike rate and has drawn perfectly to get the run of the race just in behind the leading group of runners. Adept in all types of conditions and a winner at this track he rates clearly on top. Rudy is another galloper with a high winning strike rate, this last start winner of the Villiers at Group 2 level at Randwick returns from the spelling paddock but generally races well fresh. Territory races well here at Warwick Farm and comes off two Group race placings at last two runs should make his presence felt again. Pornichet is lightly raced and a last start Group 3 winner at Sandown prior to spelling. Races well fresh and has the benefit of two recent trials.Thump is a dual acceptor and if opts for this has great record this track and should be right in the thick of things again.

Warwick Farm Race 5. RaceTime: AEDT 15:35, 28/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (10) Thump.
On Pacers (13) Hot Snitzel, (9) Aomen, (7) Malavio.
Mid Fielders (6) Pornichet, (5) It's Somewhat, (4) Red Excitement, (2) Slow Pace, (12) Territory.
Get Back (3) Canny Ballad, (8) Destiny's Kiss, (11) Rudy, (14) Gypsy Diamond, (1) Singing Flame.
PACE COMMENTS Not a great deal of top end speed here and if Thump elects to run in this event looks likely to cross from 10 and take it up in race where a leader is not clearly defined. Early Fancies Red Excitement and Pornichet have both drawn well and should position up somewhere in the first half of the field. If Thump comes out possibly only a moderate tempo here.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Red Excitement PLUS: Good strike rates, winner this track, drawn to get great run, recent trial winner. A 0
  MINUS: Unplaced only run this distance.    
Rudy PLUS: Group 2 winner at last run, races well fresh, good career strike rates. B 1
  MINUS: Will get a fair way back in the run, drawn wide.    
Territory PLUS: Good record this track, placed at Group level last 2 runs. C 1.75
  MINUS: Drawn wide, beaten both runs at distance.    
Pornichet PLUS:Group 3 winner in Melbourne last run, goes well fresh. D 3
  MINUS: Unknown Sydney way of going, beaten both runs at distance.    
Thump PLUS: Last start Group 3 winner, great record this track. E 4.25
  MINUS: Drawn wide, lacks consistency    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Hot Snitzel (beaten all 4 runs at distance).
OUTCLASSED Destiny's Kiss, It's Somewhat, Aomen, Malavio, Slow Pace, Gypsy Diamond, Canny Ballad, Singing Flame.
Quadrella Race# Warwick Farm 28 February 2015
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