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Warwick Farm Race 6: Chipping Norton Stakes 1600m

27/02/2015: Group 1 Epsom handicap winner He's Your Man should derive great benefit from his 1st up run and has strong 2nd up figures which puts him right in contention here. Although drawn wide He's Your Man surged into elite company with an outstanding last campaign and if he can get some cover from draw looks a genuine winning threat. Boban is proven at this level and is unbeaten both runs this track, close up last time without too much luck and should be ready to fire 3rd run back. Group 1 winning mare Lucia Valentina is one of the best in the business and was seen powering home late 1st up last time. Although unplaced both 2nd up runs will be suited by distance rise and is too classy to leave out. Contributer was an outstanding 1st up winner at Group 2 level last time and although 2nd up stats no where as strong as 1st up should again acquit himself well here. Silent Achiever is a classy act and hit the line well late 1st up last time out. Has won 3 from 6 when racing 2nd up and should be charging home late.

Warwick Farm Race 6. RaceTime: AEDT 16:15, 28/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (9) Fiveandahalfstar, (12) Ninth Legion.
Mid Fielders (6)Disclaimer, (15) He's Your Man, (4) Contributer, (10) Weary,
Get Back (7) Who Shot The Barman, (2) Opinion, (14) Hartnell, (11) Lucia Valentina, (1) Foreteller (8) Boban, (5) Hawkspur, (13) Junoob, (3) Silent Achiever.
PACE COMMENTS Unlike the previous race there is very little top end speed here with no natural pacemaker engaged. It is then envisaged that either Fiveandahalfstar or Ninth Legion may find themselves in front by default. The overall pace assessment here is moderate and that won't do any favours for those who have to come from well back.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
He's Your Man PLUS: Winner Group 1 level, winner only start at distance, fitter for 2 runs back. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
Boban PLUS: Proven performer this level, unbeaten both runs this track, fitter for 2 runs back. B 0.75
  MINUS: Beaten last 8 runs.    
Lucia Valentina PLUS: Winner at Group 1 level, winner this distance, placed this track. C 1.25
  MINUS: Can get a long way back and will be giving class gallopers a tidy start.    
Contributer PLUS: Good winner last time at Group 2 level, has 50% winning strike rate. D 3
  MINUS: Beaten all 3 second up runs.    
Silent Achiever PLUS: Multiple Group 1 winner, good record this distance, goes well 2nd up. E 3.25
  MINUS: Gets a long way back, unplaced only run here.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Weary (beaten all 4 runs at distance), Ninth Legion (unplaced all 3 runs at distance).
OUTCLASSED Foreteller, Fiveandahalfstar, Hawkspur, Junoob, Who Shot The Barman, Opinion, Disclaimer, Hartnell.
Quadrella Race# Warwick Farm 28 February 2015
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