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Warwick Farm Race 7: Guy Walter Stakes 1400m

27/02/2015: A tough race but Arabian Gold is proven at the elite level and has done well enough fresh in the past to warrant top billing in this. Arabian Gold has a great winning strike rate and has the benefit of two recent trials which should see her primed for a strong 1st up assault in this. Group 3 winner Mahara continues to improve with each run and has won 5 from only 12 starts, close up last time and has raced well 2nd up in past. Cosmic Endeavour has won at Group 1 level and is unbeaten all 3 runs this distance. 2nd up record is not flash but 3 trials prior to 1st up run may help that cause here. Dear Demi is another class mare proven at this level, 1st up record is not great but has strong figures this track and trialled well for return. Solicit is class act on her day and should find the lead comfortably here and just may give them all something to run down if on song.

Warwick Farm Race 7. RaceTime: AEDT 16:55, 28/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (13) Solicit.
On Pacers (6) Cosmic Endeavour, (8) Dear Demi, (17) Thump, (3) Marianne, (15) Tarloshan.
Mid Fielders (7) All Salsa, (4) Diamond Drille, (9) Tinto, (11) Hera, (5) Arabian Gold.
Get Back (10) Danesiri, (16) My Sabeel, (1) Arinosa, (14) Chintz, (2) Neena Rock, (12) Mahara.
PACE COMMENTS Solicit although drawn wide should eventually find the front and pilot this field. Cosmic Endeavour and Dear Demi are well fancied and will look to take up prominent positions in behind Solicit. There is enough speed up front here to guarantee a good overall tempo which should give a horse like Mahara every chance to be in the thick of things at the business end.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Arabian Gold PLUS: Has won 1st up, recent trial winner, goes well at distance, perfect draw. A 0
  MINUS: Unplaced only run at track.    
Mahara PLUS: Group 3 winner at Flemington, unbeaten both runs this distance, goes well 2nd up. B 0.5
  MINUS: Drawn wide, beaten only run this track.    
Cosmic Endeavour PLUS: Winner at Group 1 level, unbeaten all 3 runs this distance, drawn well. C 1.5
  MINUS: A bit disappointing when unplaced when well fancied last run.    
Dear Demi PLUS: Winner of over $2 million in stakes, has strong record this track and distance. D 3.5
  MINUS: Beaten in all 6 first up runs.    
Solicit PLUS: Will get an easy lead here, good record over distance, goes well 2nd up. E 3.75
  MINUS: Poor run 1st up last time, best wins have been in Melbourne.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Diamond Drille (unplaced all 3 second up runs), Thump (seldom puts back to back wins together), Neena Rock (beaten all 3 second up runs).
OUTCLASSED Tinto, Arinosa, Hera, Chintz, My Sabeel, Tarloshan, Marianne, Danesiri, All Salsa.
Quadrella Race# Warwick Farm 28 February 2015
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